Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

11

Dylan Guenther

Utah Hockey Club Right Wing

Eighteen goals in 45 games at 20, nine of them on the power play.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23ARI336915-7104015311.313:07
2023-24ARI45181735-11491412114.916:17
2024-25 so far
Career78242650-824131517413.814:57

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

45 games, 18 goals and 17 assists for 35 points, 9 on the power play, 1 shorthanded, 14 penalty minutes, 16:17 a night and minus-1, with 4 game-winners. He took 51.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 543 minutes, the 61st percentile, and his ice went 26-24 against an expectation of 21.98-21.06.

Four goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and three more conceded than they called for. Four game-winners in 45 games is tied for the most on the club.

The Finesse Game

177 attempts at a median of 32 feet with 19 per cent of them from inside twenty and 27 per cent from beyond forty, 119 of those on goal, converted at 14.9 per cent against a career 13.79 across 174 shots.

Thirteen of the 24 goals he has scored in the league have come on the man advantage. The shot is the tool — a one-timer from the circle that he does not need time to set — and a thirty-two-foot median attempt says he is happy to take it from out there.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 191 and took 14 penalty minutes.

Twenty-four career penalty minutes in 78 games. He is an ordinary size for a winger and does not play a contact game; the puck is won by arriving first rather than by taking it off somebody.

The Intangibles

Ninth overall in 2021 by Arizona, two seasons, one organisation, and 50 points in 78 games.

A career minus-8 and 13 power-play goals in 78 games. He is 21, he has played 78 NHL games, and 35 points in 45 of them last season is a first-line rate from a second-line assignment.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 543 minutes

Expected goals
51.1%
62nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.2%
57th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 26 for, 24 against. Expected: 22.0 and 21.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
87th
Numbers
62nd

The report ranks him 25 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with ARI · 543 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
ARI took 48.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.1% — 2.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 543 minutes at five-on-five — 20th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Logan Cooley52.0%46.3%46.4%
Lawson Crouse49.7%52.0%50.1%
Sean Durzi58.2%47.2%50.3%

52.0% together, 46.3% for him apart and 46.4% for Cooley apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

177 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 19% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.