This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Dylan Guenther
Arizona Coyotes Right Wing
Ninth overall, six goals in thirty-three games at nineteen, and four of them on the power play.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | ARI | 33 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 11.3 | 13:07 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 33 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 11.3 | 13:07 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
6 goals and 9 assists in 33 games — 15 points at 13:07 a night, minus-7, with 4 power-play goals on 53 shots, converting at 11.32 per cent, and 10 penalty minutes.
He was nineteen, he was returned to junior partway through, and he won a World Junior gold in the middle of it. 41 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 375 minutes, the 6th percentile — a nineteen-year-old on the third line of a bad team, which is what that number describes.
Four of his six goals came on the power play, which is where a young scorer is protected and where the evidence is weakest.
The Finesse Game
53 attempts at a median of 33 feet, 22 per cent from inside 20 and 26 per cent from beyond 40, off a shot measured at 84.0 mph — the 9th percentile, though a nineteen-year-old’s velocity is a number that moves.
The junior record is the real evidence and it is very good: he scored 45 goals in 59 games in his final WHL season. Thirty-three NHL games is not enough to say anything, and the honest reading is that the shot and the release looked NHL-calibre and the rest of the game did not yet.
The Physical Game
6-1 and 191 and still filling out. He is not physical and does not need to be yet.
The skating is fine rather than special at 22.4 mph, the 56th percentile, on 2.18 miles a game at the 24th — which is a young player having short shifts rather than one who does not work. They were not soft ones: 43.7 per cent of his five-on-five shifts started in the attacking zone, the 23rd percentile.
The Intangibles
Ninth overall in 2021, and the most important forward prospect this organisation has, which on this roster is both a compliment and a warning.
He is 20. Arizona has handled him correctly so far — thirty-three games, then back to junior rather than a full season of losing at nineteen — and the thing to watch this year is whether the club keeps that discipline once the games start going badly.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 375 minutes
- Expected goals
- 41%
- 6th pct
- Shot attempts
- 44.3%
- 13th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 10 for, 16 against. Expected: 11.3 and 16.2.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 23 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 61 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 33 games
- Top speed
- 22.4 mph
- 63rd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.06 a game
- Distance
- 2.18 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 84.0 mph
- 32nd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 375 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- ARI took 45.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.0% — 4.5 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- 375 minutes at five-on-five — 10th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Bjugstad | 42.9% | 38.8% | 50.3% |
| J.J. Moser | 42.2% | 40.3% | 45.5% |
| Lawson Crouse | 44.9% | 38.8% | 49.0% |
42.9% together, 38.8% for him apart and 50.3% for Bjugstad apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Bjugstad and did not follow him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
73 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 22% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.