Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Dante Fabbro

Photo by CloutsnChara Sports Cards, CC BY 3.0

Dante Fabbro

Columbus Blue Jackets Defense #15

54 goals for and 33 against, and expected goals that say it was a coin flip.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19NSH4101-10000520.012:44
2019-20NSH645611-738100925.419:02
2020-21NSH4021012-123101593.419:19
2021-22NSH6632124+1324000883.419:03
2022-23NSH792911-4500001012.017:27
2023-24NSH5631013+924000654.616:21
2024-25NSH/CBJ6891726+20400038910.120:54
2025-26CBJ745611-1633001687.316:34
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—4513079109+132322055675.318:16

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 6 assists in 74 games — 11 points, minus-16, at 16:34 a night.

The Finesse Game

Very little. 101 unblocked attempts from a median of 56 feet, 1 per cent of them inside 20, 5 goals. 30 goals in 451 career games.

6 assists in 74 games is close to nothing and reflects a defenceman who moves it to the nearest man and gets off the ice.

The Physical Game

6 foot even, 200, and he defends with position. 33 penalty minutes. He is not physically imposing and does not pretend to be.

The Intangibles

An odd page. He was on for 47.8 per cent of the expected goals, 35th percentile, but only 46.9 per cent of the shot attempts, 34th — the reverse of the usual split, and it says the opposition got the puck and could not turn it into much.

The goals went 30-47 against him, a minus-17 margin at 5-on-5, against expected goals that were much closer to level at 42.6 to 46.5. That is a 13 goal shortfall, the largest on the club in that direction, and it belongs to Greaves.

And the official record has him at minus-16, which is the rare case of a plus-minus that understates the damage: all of it happened at 5-on-5 and the penalty kill, which finished thirtieth, cost him nothing on top.

3 numbers telling one story, which is unusual in this section. He is 28, a 17th overall pick on his second club, and the fair summary is a third-pair defenceman being asked for more.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    85.1% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 97th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,106 minutes

Expected goals
47.8%
35th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.9%
26th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 30 for, 47 against. Expected: 42.6 and 46.5.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
8th
Numbers
35th
Blind
23rd

The numbers rank him 27 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

The same player was graded a second time from his biography and his box score alone, with the measured record withheld. That reading lands 12 points from the numbers; this one lands 27. Across the whole control the two distances come out the same, which is worth knowing in both directions: the arithmetic on both sides of the sighted reading did not buy it any accuracy, and it did not cost it any either.

All three bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 74 games

Top speed
21.3 mph
33rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.15 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.29 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
92.4 mph
62nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

1

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 1 assists, 10 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1106 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
CBJ took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.8% — 3.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 1,106 minutes at five-on-five — 72nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Zach Werenski52.0%45.8%55.7%
Adam Fantilli45.1%49.0%54.5%
Sean Monahan48.6%47.5%53.4%

52.0% together, 45.8% for him apart and 55.7% for Werenski apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Werenski and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

101 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 45 feet. 1% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 85% from beyond forty.