Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Jaden Schwartz

Photo by Hugh Lee from Edmonton Alberta, Canada, CC BY-SA 2.0

Jaden Schwartz

Colorado Avalanche Center #17

A 15-year veteran with a Cup, still useful in a middle-6 role at 34.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12STL7213+10101633.311:41
2012-13STL457613-440015014.012:28
2013-14STL80253156+282753118813.317:32
2014-15STL75283563+131680418415.218:15
2015-16STL3381422+881016312.717:12
2016-17STL78193655+141830417910.618:54
2017-18STL62243559+152661315715.319:24
2018-19STL69112536-6162011836.018:08
2019-20STL71223557+31890416213.618:11
2020-21STL4081321+2201017111.317:42
2021-22SEA3781523-13141001017.918:27
2022-23SEA71211940-172260216712.617:25
2023-24SEA62131730-152470011711.116:22
2024-25SEA81262349-62460619413.417:53
2025-26SEA50111526+582128213.416:08
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—861233320553+2824558531190412.217:32

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 26 points in 50 games, plus-5, on 16 minutes a night. Prorated that is a 40-point pace, which is respectable and well down on his best years.

The Finesse Game

The hands and the reading are what remain. He plays a smart possession game — protects pucks below the goal line, finds the seam pass, and does not turn it over. 233 career goals is a genuine scoring record for a player nobody would call a sniper.

82 shots in 50 games is a decent rate; the finishing has slipped rather than the volume.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 185, and he plays heavier — he goes to the net, works the corners, and takes the punishment. That style has cost him: he has missed significant time in most seasons of his career.

The Intangibles

A Stanley Cup, a long career of being the responsible forward on skill lines, and a reputation as one of the more respected players in the sport.

At 34, availability is the whole question. When he plays he improves a line; he has not played 80 games in a long time.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.16 penalty minutes a game over 50, 8th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 661 minutes

Expected goals
44.5%
13th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.2%
13th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 28 for, 23 against. Expected: 23.5 and 29.3.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
82nd
Numbers
13th

The report ranks him 69 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 50 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
27th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.84 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.64 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.4 mph
80th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

7

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 5 assists, 14 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with SEA · 661 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
SEA took 46.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.5% — 1.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 661 minutes at five-on-five — 27th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Chandler Stephenson40.2%49.4%37.8%
Eeli Tolvanen45.0%44.0%41.0%
Adam Larsson43.0%45.5%45.0%

40.2% together, 49.4% for him apart and 37.8% for Stephenson apart. He was better away from Stephenson, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Stephenson.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

118 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.