Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Frederick Gaudreau

Photo by TheAHL, CC BY 2.0

Frederick Gaudreau

Seattle Kraken Center #89

Undrafted, 478 games, and the 2nd percentile.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17NSH9011+1000080.08:40
2017-18NSH2003302000140.09:10
2018-19NSH55314+12001437.09:01
2020-21PIT192810+1020002010.013:04
2021-22MIN76143044+12810413210.616:19
2022-23MIN82191938+101034313813.816:03
2023-24MIN6751015-23122011054.813:57
2024-25MIN82181937-2850211016.415:40
2025-26SEA6871724-1111007010.016:09
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—47868108176+8551241164010.614:23

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 17 assists in 68 games — 24 points, minus-1, at 16:09 a night with 11 penalty minutes.

The Finesse Game

Modest and sensibly placed. 119 unblocked attempts, 8 goals, median 24 feet with 43 per cent from inside 20.

176 points in 478 career games is a fourth-line rate, and 17 assists in 68 games is the better half of it.

The Physical Game

6 foot even, 184, and light. 11 penalty minutes across 68 games is remarkably low.

He wins faceoffs, kills penalties, and takes the defensive-zone start, which is the job and has been for 9 seasons.

The Intangibles

41.0 per cent of the expected goals, 3rd percentile, and 41.2 per cent of the shot attempts, also second, across 921 minutes — with the chances 28.3 for and 40.8 against.

Those are the second-worst figures on a club that had the worst in the league, and the difference between him and Stephenson is that Gaudreau is a fourth-line centre being used as one.

The goals came out 30-34 regardless — 8 better than those chances, which is entirely the goaltending: Seattle stopped 17 more than the shots it faced.

4 points in his last 10. He is 33, undrafted, won a Cup in Tampa, and has made a 9-year career out of being the player a coach trusts with the shift nobody wants. The numbers say what that shift costs.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.16 penalty minutes a game over 68, 8th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    26% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 2nd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 921 minutes

Expected goals
41%
4th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
41.2%
2nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 30 for, 34 against. Expected: 28.3 and 40.8.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
33rd
Numbers
4th

The report ranks him 29 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 68 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
38th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.91 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.64 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.8 mph
43rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

4

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 2 assists, 19 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 921 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
SEA took 46.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.0% — 5.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 921 minutes at five-on-five — 51st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Adam Larsson38.3%42.8%46.6%
Vince Dunn38.0%42.7%46.9%
Chandler Stephenson34.6%44.6%39.8%

38.3% together, 42.8% for him apart and 46.6% for Larsson apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

119 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.