Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

9

Chandler Stephenson

Seattle Kraken Center

A career 15.48 per cent shooter on 575 shots in 495 games — very few of them, and a great many going in.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16WSH9000-3200020.07:51
2016-17WSH40000000030.08:53
2017-18WSH6761218+1380003616.711:52
2018-19WSH645611-1300103613.912:07
2019-20WSH/VGK65111526+24161257315.114:19
2020-21VGK51142135+22292158316.918:06
2021-22VGK79214364+52661312516.819:19
2022-23VGK81164965+122661512013.319:01
2023-24VGK75163551-9254249716.518:29
2024-25 so far
Career49589181270+511321982257515.516:08

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

75 games with Vegas, 16 goals and 35 assists for 51 points, 4 on the power play, 2 shorthanded, 25 penalty minutes, 18:29 a night and minus-9, with 4 game-winners. He took 45.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,006 minutes, the 26th percentile, and his ice went 40-42 against an expectation of 39.38-46.37.

A goal of finishing above what the chances were worth and four of goaltending above them. He shot 16.5 per cent on 97 shots, which is the pattern of his career rather than a fluke of one season.

The Finesse Game

131 attempts at a median of 24 feet with 40 per cent of them from inside twenty and 12 per cent from beyond forty, 93 of those on goal, converted at 16.5 per cent against a career 15.48 across 575 shots.

181 career assists against 89 goals in 495 games. He is a centre who passes first and shoots only from places worth shooting from — 575 shots in 495 games is barely one a night — and a career 15.48 per cent is what that discipline buys.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 201 and took 25 penalty minutes.

132 career penalty minutes in 495 games. He is a straight-line skater who beats defencemen wide rather than through them; there is very little physical contact in his game and there never has been.

The Intangibles

Seventy-seventh overall in 2012 by Washington, nine seasons, three organisations, and 270 points in 495 games.

Eight career shorthanded goals and a career plus-51. He played under thirteen minutes a night in each of his first four seasons in Washington and has scored at better than half a point a game in every season since 2020-21.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,006 minutes

Expected goals
45.9%
26th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.3%
24th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 42 against. Expected: 39.4 and 46.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
72nd
Numbers
26th

The report ranks him 46 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with VGK · 1006 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
VGK took 51.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.9% — 5.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,006 minutes at five-on-five — 58th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mark Stone45.5%46.3%61.2%
Brayden McNabb44.7%46.7%55.3%
Alex Pietrangelo47.1%45.4%51.6%

45.5% together, 46.3% for him apart and 61.2% for Stone apart. Stone was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

131 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 16 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 12% from beyond forty.