Brayden Schenn

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

62 games, 24 goals and 34 assists at 17:47 a night, plus-21, thirty-three penalty minutes, 111 shots. Seven of the twenty-four came on the power play. Fifth overall in 2009 by Los Angeles, thirteen seasons, 776 games, 524 points.

The Finesse Game

21.6 per cent shooting is the 7th-highest of the 393 forwards who played forty games — twenty-four goals out of 111 attempts, from a 22-foot median with fifty-seven per cent from the slot.

And 43.3 per cent of the expected goals is the 9th percentile, 43.5 per cent of the attempts the 7th.

Those two facts belong to the same season and they are the whole St Louis argument in one man. A shot share in the bottom tenth of the league, a conversion rate in the top two per cent, and a plus-21 out of it.

His ice went 48-37 against an expectation of 30.95-40.54 — seventeen more goals in front than the model asked and three and a half fewer against.

6.04 shots per 60 is the 27th percentile and 2.29 takeaways per 60 the 87th.

47.0 per cent offensive-zone starts is the 237th-lowest of 652 skaters — a slightly hard chair, and it does not account for the possession numbers on its own.

The Physical Game

6.48 hits per 60 is the 74th percentile at 6-1 and 200 pounds, against 0.93 blocks at the 13th.

Thirty-three penalty minutes in sixty-two games, and 425 across a 776-game career. He plays a heavy game and has never been a liability for it.

The Intangibles

22.7 mph is the 70th percentile and 9.69 miles per 60 the 54th, against 3.2 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 at the 22nd. All three are ordinary and the last is below it.

His shot is 88.2 mph, the 36th percentile — which is the point worth holding onto beside a 21.6 per cent conversion rate.

He is 31, with 524 points in 776 games, and fifty-eight points in sixty-two games is the best rate of his career. A career of 13.6 per cent shooting — 219 goals from 1,608 attempts — says that 21.6 is not the level. What is left when it regresses is a heavy, disciplined centre taking a slightly hard chair and losing the puck battle badly.