Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

25

Jordan Kyrou

St. Louis Blues Right Wing

The 3rd-fewest hits of all 393 forwards and the 97th-percentile top speed, on the way to seventy-five points.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19STL16123-14000166.39:40
2019-20STL28459+180003910.310:54
2020-21STL55142135+1120029814.314:25
2021-22STL74274875+102050418814.416:35
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—1734676122+114450634113.514:20

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

74 games, 27 goals and 48 assists at 16:35 a night, plus-10, twenty penalty minutes, 188 shots. Five of the twenty-seven came on the power play. Thirty-fifth overall in 2016 by St Louis — the second round — four seasons, 173 games, 122 points.

The Finesse Game

3.05 even-strength points per 60 is the 94th percentile among the 393 forwards who played forty games, off the 61st-percentile workload.

9.20 shots per 60 is the 80th percentile at 14.4 per cent, from a 28-foot median at the 78th percentile with forty-one per cent from the slot at the 16th. He shoots often and from further out than almost anyone who scores twenty-seven goals, which is the one place the shot chart argues with the total.

1.32 penalties drawn per 60 is the 88th percentile against 0.49 taken at the 31st, and the net of plus-0.83 is the 96th. He is one of the most profitable men in the league to have on the ice when the officials are involved.

48.2 per cent of the expected goals is the 36th percentile and 46.5 per cent of the attempts the 21st, out of 54.4 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 196th-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts.

The Physical Game

0.29 hits per 60 is the 3rd-fewest of all 393 forwards — only Troy Terry and Phil Kessel finished lower — at 6-1 and 189 pounds.

1.13 blocks per 60 is the 21st percentile, and he took four seconds a night short-handed.

The Intangibles

A 23.7 mph top speed is the 97th percentile among forwards and 10.3 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 88th.

Fast and frequently at speed, against 9.76 miles per 60 at the 60th percentile. The tracking says the speed is real and the volume of skating is ordinary — the shape of a winger who arrives in a hurry and does not chase.

His shot is 88.2 mph, the 36th percentile, which sits oddly beside the twenty-eight-foot median.

He is 24 and the seventy-five points are a career high by forty. Speed, penalty differential and a scoring rate in the top six per cent of the league are the case. The hits, the blocks, the possession shares and the shot distance are the reasons a club that scored 311 goals still finished 26th in attempt share.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “A 23.7 mph top speed is the 97th percentile among forwards and 10.3 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 88th.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,064 minutes

Expected goals
48.2%
40th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.5%
25th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 59 for, 45 against. Expected: 43.2 and 46.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
74th
Numbers
40th

The report ranks him 34 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 74 games

Top speed
23.7 mph
98th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
2.84 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.70 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.2 mph
57th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1064 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
STL took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.2% — level with the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,064 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brayden Schenn46.1%49.9%39.6%
Justin Faulk45.4%49.9%51.1%
Colton Parayko48.2%48.1%46.2%

46.1% together, 49.9% for him apart and 39.6% for Schenn apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Schenn behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

240 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 28 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 30% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.