Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

94

Brayden Pachal

Calgary Flames Defense

Undrafted, fifty-one penalty minutes in fifty games, and seventy-two per cent of his attempts from beyond forty feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22VGK2000-2000010.09:46
2022-23VGK10022+28000180.016:37
2023-24VGK/CGY50257-351000523.914:41
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—62279-359000712.814:50

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 5 assists in 50 games — 7 points at 14:41 a night, minus-3, on 52 shots at 3.85 per cent, and 51 penalty minutes.

45.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 678 minutes, the 26th percentile. His ice went 22-27 against an expectation of 23.22-27.39.

The Finesse Game

52 attempts at a median of 53 feet, with 72 per cent from beyond 40 and 11 per cent from inside 20, converting at 3.85 per cent. Two goals in 62 NHL games.

5 assists. He does not carry the puck out and the first pass is short and safe, and none of it is why he is on a roster.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 202. He finishes every check and he clears the front of his own net, and he plays heavier than the listing.

51 penalty minutes in 50 games and 59 in 62 for his career — better than a minute a game. He takes liberties and he will fight, and on a blue line whose top pair defends with position he is one of two men who does anything else.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Prince Albert, and 62 NHL games at 25 after four seasons in the American league.

An undrafted defenceman who reaches fifty NHL games in a season has already beaten the odds, and on a club that has just traded two of its top four he is now a genuine third-pairing option rather than a seventh man.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “**Undrafted**, out of Prince Albert, and **62 NHL games at 25** after four seasons in the American league.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “**He finishes every check and he clears the front of his own net**, and he plays heavier than the listing.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “**He finishes every check and he clears the front of his own net**, and he plays heavier than the listing.”

  • takes-libertiesa strength· crosses the line and knows where it is

    “**He takes liberties and he will fight**, and on a blue line whose top pair defends with position he is one of two men who does anything else.”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “**He does not carry the puck out and the first pass is short and safe**, and none of it is why he is on a roster.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 678 minutes

Expected goals
45.9%
26th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.2%
23rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 22 for, 27 against. Expected: 23.2 and 27.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
17th
Numbers
26th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 61 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 50 games

Top speed
21.4 mph
39th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.54 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.06 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.3 mph
60th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 452 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CGY took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.9% — 4.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 678 minutes at five-on-five — 30th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Oliver Kylington45.0%46.3%49.7%
Nazem Kadri52.1%44.1%50.5%
Jonathan Huberdeau50.7%44.6%50.1%

45.0% together, 46.3% for him apart and 49.7% for Kylington apart. Kylington was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

74 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 45 feet. 11% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 72% from beyond forty.