Brandon Hagel

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

77 games between Chicago and Tampa Bay, 25 goals and 19 assists at 16:21 a night, minus-18, thirty-one penalty minutes, 125 shots. Four of the twenty-five came on the power play and one short-handed. Hundred-and-fifty-ninth overall in 2016 by Buffalo — the sixth round — three seasons, 130 games, 68 points.

The Finesse Game

Twenty-five goals from 125 shots is exactly 20.0 per cent — the 12th-highest of the 393 forwards who played forty games.

5.95 shots per 60 is the 25th percentile, so this is the same pattern as the St Louis chapter: a large goal total off a small number of attempts at a rate a career does not support.

2.02 even-strength points per 60 is the 64th percentile and 2.52 takeaways per 60 the 94th — the takeaways are the most durable thing here.

And 46.8 per cent of the expected goals is the 23rd percentile against 51.1 per cent of the attempts at the 62nd, out of 54.7 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 191st-highest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. A mildly soft chair, a level shot count and a losing chance share — he was on the ice for the shots and not for the dangerous ones.

His ice went 42-56 against an expectation of 39.45-44.86. Two and a half more goals in front than the model asked and eleven more against, and the eleven are where the minus-18 lives.

Most of the season came in Chicago, which finished 29th in attempt share and 27th in the standings, so the shares carry that club rather than this one.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 186 pounds, and thirty-one penalty minutes in seventy-seven games.

3.00 hits per 60 is the 37th percentile and 1.52 blocks the 42nd. 1.14 penalties drawn per 60 is the 82nd percentile against 0.67 taken at the 53rd.

The Intangibles

9.1 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 is the 85th percentile among forwards and a 22.6 mph top speed the 60th, against 9.43 miles per 60 at the 31st.

Above twenty miles an hour often, and covering an ordinary amount of ice.

His shot is 91.2 mph, the 57th percentile.

He is 24, a sixth-round pick, with sixty-eight points in 130 games. The sprint count, twenty-five goals at 24 and a career shooting rate that has not yet had time to settle are the case. A 23rd-percentile chance share and a minus-18 are the caution, and the club that acquired him took 52.5 per cent of the chances without him.