Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Brad Marchand

Photo by Lisa Gansky, CC BY-SA 2.0

Brad Marchand

Florida Panthers Left Wing #63

5-9, 38 years old, 1,034 points.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2009-10BOS20011-320000320.011:58
2010-11BOS77212041+255125214914.113:59
2011-12BOS76282755+318751316716.817:37
2012-13BOS45181836+23274259119.816:58
2013-14BOS82252853+366415514916.815:57
2014-15BOS77241842+59522518013.316:54
2015-16BOS77372461+219064625014.818:36
2016-17BOS80394685+188193822617.319:26
2017-18BOS68345185+256381818218.719:43
2018-19BOS793664100+1596103923115.619:37
2019-20BOS70285987+258251518515.119:27
2020-21BOS53294069+264644514320.318:55
2021-22BOS70324880+169772624213.219:15
2022-23BOS73214667+277490418311.518:32
2023-24BOS82293867+27873620714.019:06
2024-25BOS/FLA71232851-76450519411.918:19
2025-26FLA52272754-163860313819.617:44
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—11524515831034+2691153903685294915.318:01

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

27 goals and 27 assists in 52 games — 54 points, minus-16, at 17:44 a night. His seventeenth NHL season, and his 1,034th career point.

The Finesse Game

27 goals in 52 games at 37 years old is the headline and the release is why: 213 unblocked attempts, 28 goals, median distance 28 feet with 38 per cent from inside 20.

He shoots from further out than the men around him and converts at a higher rate, which is what a genuinely elite shot buys you when the legs start to go. The hands in tight have not moved at all.

The Physical Game

5-9 and 180 pounds, and one of the most physically irritating players of the past 2 decades. 38 penalty minutes in 52 games, and every one of them chosen.

He is not strong. He is relentless, and he has spent 17 seasons making men who outweigh him by 50 pounds lose their tempers.

The Intangibles

The 5-on-5 numbers were the weakest of his career — 47.6 per cent of the expected goals, 33rd percentile, in 633 minutes — and he is 38 in May.

451 goals, 1,034 points, a Stanley Cup in Boston and another in Florida, and a third-round pick in 2006 who was told his whole life he was too small.

6 points in his last 10. The end is somewhere in the next 2 seasons and nobody is going to see it coming until it has happened.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 633 minutes

Expected goals
47.6%
33rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50%
57th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 40 against. Expected: 30.5 and 33.5.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
97th
Numbers
33rd

The report ranks him 64 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 83 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 52 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
59th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.00 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.91 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.9 mph
43rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

6

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 3 assists, 18 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 633 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
FLA took 50.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.6% — 2.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
633 minutes at five-on-five — 26th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Anton Lundell48.0%47.3%51.8%
Sam Bennett48.3%47.0%51.8%
Carter Verhaeghe47.9%47.4%53.2%

48.0% together, 47.3% for him apart and 51.8% for Lundell apart. Lundell was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

213 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 28 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.