Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Anthony Mantha

Photo by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0

Anthony Mantha

New Jersey Devils Right Wing #39

6-5, 33 goals, and plus-10 on a club that was minus-36.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16DET10213-622011811.111:42
2016-17DET60171936+105310313312.815:54
2017-18DET80242448-15290219012.617:18
2018-19DET67252348-83070119812.617:50
2019-20DET43162238-73460313711.718:54
2020-21DET/WSH56151429-142530013810.918:08
2021-22WSH3791423+4140008211.015:10
2022-23WSH67111627-8311021199.214:13
2023-24WSH/VGK74232144+112530011320.314:13
2024-25CGY13437+6111111526.713:54
2025-26PIT81333164+104370215221.715:11
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—588179188367-332040115129513.816:05

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

33 goals and 31 assists in 81 games — 64 points, plus-10, at 15:11 a night with 7 power-play goals. His 5-on-5 work was done in Pittsburgh.

The Finesse Game

The best season of his career and the shot chart explains it: 212 unblocked attempts, 33 goals, median 22 feet with 47 per cent from inside 20.

That is a 6-5 forward doing his scoring in the paint, and 33 goals from 152 shots on goal is a remarkable conversion — high enough that it will regress, and earned from ice that makes some of it repeatable.

31 assists is a career high too.

The Physical Game

6-5 and 240 pounds, which is enormous, and he has spent a decade being told he does not use it. 43 penalty minutes.

He is not a punishing forechecker. What he is now is a net-front presence who cannot be moved, and on the power play that is worth a great deal.

The Intangibles

50.8 per cent of the expected goals, 61st percentile, with the chances 46.7 to 45.2 and the goals 62-47 in his favour.

He is 32, a 20th overall pick, and arrives on a club that finished 5th on the power play and could not finish at 5-on-5. A 30-goal scorer who works from 22 feet is precisely the shape of the problem New Jersey had.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    64% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 93rd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,023 minutes

Expected goals
50.8%
62nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.3%
39th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 62 for, 47 against. Expected: 46.7 and 45.2.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
55th
Numbers
62nd

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 81 games

Top speed
22.9 mph
81st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.19 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.38 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
96.0 mph
98th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

11

points in his last 10 games — 7 goals, 4 assists, 22 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with PIT · 1023 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
PIT took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.8% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,023 minutes at five-on-five — 62nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Justin Brazeau52.3%49.4%51.1%
Ryan Shea52.1%50.0%52.5%
Thomas Novak51.2%50.6%56.9%

52.3% together, 49.4% for him apart and 51.1% for Brazeau apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

212 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 33 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.