Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

63

Brad Marchand

Florida Panthers Left Wing

51 points at 36 across two clubs, and the most disruptive deadline acquisition of the year.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2009-10BOS20011-320000320.011:58
2010-11BOS77212041+255125214914.113:59
2011-12BOS76282755+318751316716.817:37
2012-13BOS45181836+23274259119.816:58
2013-14BOS82252853+366415514916.815:57
2014-15BOS77241842+59522518013.316:54
2015-16BOS77372461+219064625014.818:36
2016-17BOS80394685+188193822617.319:26
2017-18BOS68345185+256381818218.719:43
2018-19BOS793664100+1596103923115.619:37
2019-20BOS70285987+258251518515.119:27
2020-21BOS53294069+264644514320.318:55
2021-22BOS70324880+169772624213.219:15
2022-23BOS73214667+277490418311.518:32
2023-24BOS82293867+27873620714.019:06
2024-25BOS/FLA71232851-76450519411.918:19
2025-26 so far
Career1100424556980+2851115843682281115.118:02

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

23 goals and 28 assists in 71 games for 51 points, minus-7, on 18:19 a night between Boston and Florida.

49.7 per cent at five-on-five, the 49th percentile — the lowest figure among Florida’s forwards, and most of it was accumulated on a Boston club that finished 27th in creating chances. 11.9 per cent shooting on 194 attempts.

The Finesse Game

The hockey sense is the enduring tool and it has not declined at all. He reads a play a beat early, he knows exactly where the puck is going to be, and the release is still quick from the circle.

43 per cent of his shots come from inside 20 feet, so he is still getting to the interior at 36. 28 assists is a fair total. The skating has thinned and he now creates by anticipation rather than by beating anybody.

The Physical Game

5-9 and 180, and he plays as though he is twice that. He agitates, he goes into corners against defencemen, and he is among the most genuinely hated opponents of the last twenty years.

64 penalty minutes over 71 games at 36. The habit has never softened and it is part of the value as well as part of the cost.

The Intangibles

Sixteen seasons and a captaincy in Boston, a trade at the deadline that ended it, and a Cup in Florida three months later.

At 37 the projection is 45 points and an April in which he is more useful than in any of the 82 games before it. He is exactly the kind of player this club has made a habit of collecting.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 893 minutes

Expected goals
49.7%
50th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.2%
56th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 30 against. Expected: 37.8 and 38.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
97th
Numbers
50th

The report ranks him 47 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 337 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 85 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with BOS · 798 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
FLA took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.7% — 4.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
893 minutes at five-on-five — 45th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Elias Lindholm49.9%49.5%46.9%
Charlie Coyle48.9%50.3%49.5%
Nikita Zadorov50.6%49.2%48.7%

49.9% together, 49.5% for him apart and 46.9% for Lindholm apart. Lindholm was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Lindholm than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

266 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.