Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Kirill Marchenko

Photo by Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Kirill Marchenko

Columbus Blue Jackets Right Wing #86

102 goals in 292 games, from a second-round pick.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23CBJ5921425-231670113116.016:11
2023-24CBJ78231942-51490119311.916:25
2024-25CBJ79314374+292020220715.018:35
2025-26CBJ76274067+73261721812.418:57
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—292102106208+8822411174913.617:37

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

27 goals and 40 assists in 76 games — 67 points, plus-7, at 18:57 a night with 6 power-play goals. 218 shots on goal.

The Finesse Game

Big hands on a big frame. He handles the puck in traffic the way a smaller man does and he has the reach to take it away from a defenceman who thinks he has it covered.

The shot is quick and heavy. 338 unblocked attempts, 33 goals, median distance 29 feet with 27 per cent inside 20 — he could stand to get closer, and the release is good enough that it has not cost him yet.

40 assists is the surprise. He has become a genuine playmaker rather than a finisher who passes.

The Physical Game

6-3, 201, and he uses it to protect pucks rather than to punish. 32 penalty minutes.

He is not a net-front presence, which on a club with Voronkov and Coyle doing that work is a reasonable division of labour.

The Intangibles

52.8 per cent of the expected goals, 76th percentile, in 1,125 minutes.

102 goals in 292 career games is a genuine top-line rate, and he was a 49th overall pick who spent his early twenties in Russia. He is 26 and the best forward on this roster.

8 points in his last 10. Columbus was 8th in even-strength expected goals for and 26th on the power play; a good deal of the first number and none of the second belongs to him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    14:48 a game at five-on-five, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    65% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,125 minutes

Expected goals
52.8%
76th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.4%
78th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 51 for, 37 against. Expected: 54.6 and 48.8.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
78th
Numbers
76th

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 77 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 76 games

Top speed
23.4 mph
93rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
3.96 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.24 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.7 mph
75th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

8

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 6 assists, 29 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1125 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
CBJ took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.8% — 1.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,125 minutes at five-on-five — 75th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Adam Fantilli54.0%49.6%49.0%
Zach Werenski54.6%51.4%55.1%
Ivan Provorov53.9%52.1%49.9%

54.0% together, 49.6% for him apart and 49.0% for Fantilli apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

338 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 33 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 28% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.