This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Bo Horvat

Thirteen career shorthanded goals, 241 goals in 732 games, and a career minus-70 that belongs to Vancouver.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2014-15	VAN	68	13	12	25	-8	16	0	1	1	93	14.0	12:16
2015-16	VAN	82	16	24	40	-30	18	4	0	4	155	10.3	17:08
2016-17	VAN	81	20	32	52	-7	27	3	2	1	158	12.7	18:02
2017-18	VAN	64	22	22	44	-1	10	10	1	3	158	13.9	19:21
2018-19	VAN	82	27	34	61	-4	33	7	2	3	227	11.9	20:50
2019-20	VAN	69	22	31	53	-15	21	12	0	2	178	12.4	19:44
2020-21	VAN	56	19	20	39	-6	23	7	1	3	131	14.5	19:53
2021-22	VAN	70	31	21	52	+3	40	13	1	4	194	16.0	19:31
2022-23	VAN/NYI	79	38	32	70	-1	18	12	4	5	229	16.6	20:40
2023-24	NYI	81	33	35	68	-1	39	10	1	6	248	13.3	19:42
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	732	241	263	504	-70	245	78	13	32	1771	13.6	18:44

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games, 33 goals and 35 assists for 68 points, 10 on the power play, 1 shorthanded, 39 penalty minutes, 19:42 a night and minus-1. He took 53.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,216 minutes, the 77th percentile, and his ice went 61-49 against an expectation of 59.46-52.39.

Two goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and three fewer conceded than they called for. Thirty-three goals on a club that scored 246 is a very large share of it.

The Finesse Game

337 attempts at a median of 25 feet with 35 per cent from inside 20, 248 of them on goal, converted at 13.3 per cent against a career 13.61.

263 career assists in 732 games. The shot is heavy and comes from the top of the circle, and he gets to the middle by going through people rather than around them. Nothing about the conversion rate is unsustainable.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 225 and wins the wall and the front of the net against anybody.

245 career penalty minutes in 732 games is a low rate for a centre who plays this way. He takes the draw, kills penalties, and has 13 career shorthanded goals. 55.8 per cent of his five-on-five shifts started in the attacking zone, the 75th percentile, so the defensive half of the job is the matchup and not the faceoff.

The Intangibles

Ninth overall in 2013 out of London, Ontario, ten seasons across two organisations, and 504 points in 732 games at a career minus-70.

He is 29 and the career minus-70 is nine seasons of bad Vancouver clubs rather than a description of him — he was minus-1 last season on a club that was outshot by everybody. Thirty-three goals and a hard matchup is a first-line centre.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
53.2% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 47.1% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.1, 91st percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
15:01 a game at five-on-five, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line
“He is 6-1 and 225 and wins the wall and the front of the net against anybody.”
net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips
“He is 6-1 and 225 and wins the wall and the front of the net against anybody.”
faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it
“He takes the draw, kills penalties, and has 13 career shorthanded goals.”
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“He takes the draw, kills penalties, and has 13 career shorthanded goals.”
punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“The shot is heavy and comes from the top of the circle, and he gets to the middle by going through people rather than around them.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,216 minutes

Expected goals: 53.2%; 77th pct
Shot attempts: 51.8%; 70th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 61 for, 49 against. Expected: 59.5 and 52.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

76th

Numbers

77th

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 81 games

Top speed: 22.4 mph; 62nd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.90 a game
Distance: 3.18 miles a game
Hardest shot: 92.7 mph; 84th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1216 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: NYI took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.2% — 4.1 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,216 minutes at five-on-five — 84th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Mathew Barzal	55.2%	44.6%	44.9%
Anders Lee	54.9%	51.4%	51.7%
Noah Dobson	52.4%	53.7%	48.0%

55.2% together, 44.6% for him apart and 44.9% for Barzal apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

337 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 35 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.