Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

14

Bo Horvat

New York Islanders Center

28 goals on 243 shots and 7 game-winners, on a line outscored 28-42 while the chances said 50-49.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15VAN68131225-8160119314.012:16
2015-16VAN82162440-301840415510.317:08
2016-17VAN81203252-72732115812.718:02
2017-18VAN64222244-110101315813.919:21
2018-19VAN82273461-43372322711.920:50
2019-20VAN69223153-1521120217812.419:44
2020-21VAN56192039-62371313114.519:53
2021-22VAN70312152+340131419416.019:31
2022-23VAN/NYI79383270-118124522916.620:40
2023-24NYI81333568-139101624813.319:42
2024-25NYI81282957-41632724311.520:10
2025-26 so far
Career813269292561-74261811539201413.418:53

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games, 28 goals and 29 assists for 57 points — the most on the club — at 20:10 a night, on 243 shots at 11.52 per cent. 7 game-winning goals. 16 penalty minutes. Minus-4.

A 50.4 per cent chance share, and the on-ice goals are the season’s oddity: 28 for against an expected 50.12, and 42 against an expected 49.4. His line scored twenty-two goals fewer than the chances warranted and conceded seven fewer than expected. He personally scored 28 of those 28 — which is to say the men playing beside him scored almost nothing at five-on-five.

The Finesse Game

31 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 27, and 243 attempts is a genuine volume — third on the club and the most from any centre.

The release is quick off the pass and the hands work in tight without being exceptional. The playmaking is real but conventional: 29 assists at twenty minutes a night is a centre who moves the puck to the right place rather than one who creates something out of nothing.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 225 and strong on a puck below the goal line, which is where a good deal of his offence starts. He wins the wall against most defencemen and takes a cross-check in front without complaint.

16 penalty minutes in 81 games at twenty minutes a night is remarkable discipline for a centre doing this much physical work, and it is consistent across his career.

The Intangibles

A captain in Vancouver at 24, traded at the deadline, and signed here for eight years. He is 30, he has scored twenty goals in eight consecutive full seasons, and he took the most difficult forward assignment on the roster in a year when Mathew Barzal played thirty games.

Seven game-winners on a club that scored 215 goals is the line to carry: the production arrived when it counted, and the men around him did not.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,162 minutes

Expected goals
50.4%
57th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.7%
61st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 28 for, 42 against. Expected: 50.1 and 49.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
53rd
Numbers
57th

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1162 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NYI took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.4% — 0.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,162 minutes at five-on-five — 82nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Anders Lee49.4%51.3%53.6%
Alexander Romanov48.9%51.2%50.1%
Noah Dobson52.2%49.4%55.3%

49.4% together, 51.3% for him apart and 53.6% for Lee apart. Lee was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

361 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 29 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.