This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Bo Horvat

28 goals on 243 shots and 7 game-winners, on a line that came out 51-38 while the chances said 53-50.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2014-15	VAN	68	13	12	25	-8	16	0	1	1	93	14.0	12:16
2015-16	VAN	82	16	24	40	-30	18	4	0	4	155	10.3	17:08
2016-17	VAN	81	20	32	52	-7	27	3	2	1	158	12.7	18:02
2017-18	VAN	64	22	22	44	-1	10	10	1	3	158	13.9	19:21
2018-19	VAN	82	27	34	61	-4	33	7	2	3	227	11.9	20:50
2019-20	VAN	69	22	31	53	-15	21	12	0	2	178	12.4	19:44
2020-21	VAN	56	19	20	39	-6	23	7	1	3	131	14.5	19:53
2021-22	VAN	70	31	21	52	+3	40	13	1	4	194	16.0	19:31
2022-23	VAN/NYI	79	38	32	70	-1	18	12	4	5	229	16.6	20:40
2023-24	NYI	81	33	35	68	-1	39	10	1	6	248	13.3	19:42
2024-25	NYI	81	28	29	57	-4	16	3	2	7	243	11.5	20:10
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	813	269	292	561	-74	261	81	15	39	2014	13.4	18:53

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games, 28 goals and 29 assists for 57 points — the most on the club — at 20:10 a night, on 243 shots at 11.52 per cent. 7 game-winning goals. 16 penalty minutes. Minus-4.

A 51.5 per cent chance share, and the on-ice goals are the season’s oddity: 28 for against an expected 50.12, and 42 against an expected 49.4. His line scored twenty-two goals fewer than the chances warranted and conceded seven fewer than expected. He personally scored 28 of those 28 — which is to say the men playing beside him scored almost nothing at five-on-five.

The Finesse Game

31 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 27, and 243 attempts is a genuine volume — third on the club and the most from any centre.

The release is quick off the pass and the hands work in tight without being exceptional. The playmaking is real but conventional: 29 assists at twenty minutes a night is a centre who moves the puck to the right place rather than one who creates something out of nothing.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 225 and strong on a puck below the goal line, which is where a good deal of his offence starts. He wins the wall against most defencemen and takes a cross-check in front without complaint.

16 penalty minutes in 81 games at twenty minutes a night is remarkable discipline for a centre doing this much physical work, and it is consistent across his career.

The Intangibles

A captain in Vancouver at 24, traded at the deadline, and signed here for eight years. He is 30, he has scored twenty goals in eight consecutive full seasons, and he took the most difficult forward assignment on the roster in a year when Mathew Barzal played thirty games.

Seven game-winners on a club that scored 224 goals is the line to carry: the production arrived when it counted, and the men around him did not.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
14:21 a game at five-on-five, 90th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line
“He wins the wall against most defencemen and takes a cross-check in front without complaint.”
nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point
“16 penalty minutes in 81 games at twenty minutes a night is remarkable discipline”
playmakerpresent and ordinary· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“The playmaking is real but conventional: 29 assists at twenty minutes a night is a centre who moves the puck to the right place rather than one who creates something out of nothing.”
leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it
“A captain in Vancouver at 24, traded at the deadline, and signed here for eight years.”
defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead
“he took the most difficult forward assignment on the roster in a year when Mathew Barzal played thirty games.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,162 minutes

Expected goals: 51.5%; 67th pct
Shot attempts: 51.3%; 67th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 51 for, 38 against. Expected: 52.7 and 49.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

55th

Numbers

67th

The two rank him within 12 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed: 23.5 mph; 97th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 3.98 a game
Distance: 3.28 miles a game
Hardest shot: 92.8 mph; 91st pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1162 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: NYI took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.5% — 1.6 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,162 minutes at five-on-five — 82nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Anders Lee	50.5%	52.5%	55.5%
Alexander Romanov	50.0%	52.3%	48.7%
Noah Dobson	53.4%	50.6%	54.5%

50.5% together, 52.5% for him apart and 55.5% for Lee apart. Lee was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

361 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 29 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.