Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

62

Artturi Lehkonen

Colorado Avalanche Left Wing

Nineteen goals across two clubs, giveaways at the 9th percentile, and 1:53 shorthanded at the 88th.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17MTL73181028-1821315811.413:52
2017-18MTL6612921-11203131647.316:29
2018-19MTL82112031+10320041766.315:33
2019-20MTL70131427+2240111409.315:26
2020-21MTL477613-26020789.013:25
2021-22MTL/COL74191938+12222215512.315:06
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—4128078158-111277138719.215:03

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

19 goals and 19 assists in 74 games for Montreal and here — 38 points at 15:06 a night, plus-1, with 22 penalty minutes. Colorado won the Stanley Cup.

54.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 898 minutes, the 79th percentile among forwards. His ice went 37-36 against an expectation of 40.34-34.31 — three fewer goals for than the chances promised and two more against.

He arrived at the deadline from a Montreal club that finished 32nd, so the 54.0 per cent is a blend of the worst team in the league and the eventual champion.

The Finesse Game

Nineteen goals is the most of his six seasons, by one, at 12.3 per cent on 155 attempts from a median of 25 feet.

0.86 giveaways per 60 is the 9th percentile among forwards against 0.97 takeaways at the 9th. He neither wins pucks nor loses them, which for a checking winger who scores is the profile you want and the profile that is hard to value.

95.6 mph is the 87th percentile among forwards. The shot is harder than the goal totals suggest.

Only 8 per cent of his points came on the power play, the 32nd percentile.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 179. 1:53 a night shorthanded is the 88th percentile among forwards and 4.40 hits is the 57th.

9.42 miles per 60 is the 30th percentile among forwards at a top speed of 22.5 mph at the 51st. He is not a heavy skater and he is not a fast one; the value is in where he is rather than how he got there.

The Intangibles

Fifty-fifth overall in 2013 by Montreal, second round, and 412 NHL games at 27 with 158 points and now a Stanley Cup.

Colorado has lost Nazem Kadri, Andre Burakovsky and Nicolas Aube-Kubel from its forward group. Lehkonen is the deadline acquisition who stayed, and on a club whose top six is thinner than it was in June he is going to be asked to play higher than a checking winger normally does.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “1:53 a night shorthanded is the 88th percentile among forwards”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 898 minutes

Expected goals
54%
82nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.2%
73rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 36 against. Expected: 40.3 and 34.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
78th
Numbers
82nd

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 74 games

Top speed
22.5 mph
65th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.65 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.37 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
95.6 mph
92nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with MTL · 692 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
COL took 51.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.0% — 2.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
898 minutes at five-on-five — 50th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ben Chiarot52.5%54.7%48.0%
Jake Evans55.7%53.4%45.3%
Alexander Romanov53.4%54.3%44.9%

52.5% together, 54.7% for him apart and 48.0% for Chiarot apart. Chiarot was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Chiarot than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

211 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 19 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.