Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Andrei Kuzmenko

Calgary Flames Left Wing

Undrafted, sixty-one goals in 153 NHL games, and a career conversion rate of 23.11 per cent.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23VAN81393574+98140414327.316:15
2023-24VAN/CGY72222446-91280412118.214:53
2024-25 so far
Career1536159120020220826423.115:36

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

22 goals and 24 assists in 72 games for Vancouver and Calgary — 46 points at 14:53 a night, minus-9, with 8 power-play goals and 4 game-winners on 121 shots, converting at 18.18 per cent, and 12 penalty minutes.

53.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 829 minutes, the 76th percentile. His ice went 32-27 against an expectation of 35.82-31.47 — four goals of scoring missing and four fewer conceded.

The Finesse Game

121 attempts at a median of 17 feet, with 55 per cent from inside 20 and 16 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 18.18 per cent — and a career 23.11 per cent across 264 shots, which is one of the highest rates in the league over any meaningful sample.

He finds the soft spot in a box and the release is immediate — the puck does not settle and the goaltender does not get to reset. Twenty-two of his 61 career goals have come on the power play in 153 games.

24 assists. The hockey sense is well ahead of the feet and it is why the shot selection is so good.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 200. He does not forecheck, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he avoids contact entirely.

12 penalty minutes in 72 games and 20 in 153 for his career is among the lowest rates in this edition, and it is low because he is never in a battle. The defensive half of the game is not something he offers.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Yakutsk, and 153 NHL games and 120 points at 28 after eight seasons in Russia, with a 39-goal rookie year at 26.

An undrafted forward who arrives at 26 and scores 39 goals is one of the strangest lines in this edition, and the two seasons since have been a steady argument about whether the finishing is a skill or a run. On a club with the 19th power play, it is a bet worth making.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 829 minutes

Expected goals
53.2%
77th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.8%
84th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 27 against. Expected: 35.8 and 31.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
61st
Numbers
77th

The two rank him within 16 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with VAN · 464 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CGY took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.2% — 3.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
829 minutes at five-on-five — 41st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ilya Mikheyev59.9%49.4%50.7%
Elias Pettersson56.1%52.1%52.0%
Nazem Kadri46.0%55.9%49.9%

59.9% together, 49.4% for him apart and 50.7% for Mikheyev apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

194 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 22 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 55% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.