Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Alexander Kerfoot

Photo by Quintin Soloviev, CC BY-SA 4.0

Alexander Kerfoot

Nashville Predators Center #14

639 games of doing the useful thing quietly.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18COL79192443-7285008123.513:27
2018-19COL78152742-93840111612.914:53
2019-20TOR6591928-2321018810.214:46
2020-21TOR5681523+2120116811.814:27
2021-22TOR82133851+192000111711.115:13
2022-23TOR82102232+8302111337.514:37
2023-24ARI82133245-152622310312.617:26
2024-25UTA81111728-51402110110.915:15
2025-26UTA3476130230002825.012:47
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—639105200305-9223146983512.614:56

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 6 assists in 34 games — 13 points, even in plus-minus, at 12:47 a night. His 5-on-5 work was done in Utah.

The Finesse Game

Modest and well placed. 44 unblocked attempts, 7 goals, median 23 feet with 43 per cent from inside 20 — a good conversion in a small sample.

305 points in 639 career games is a genuine middle-6 career, most of it assists. He makes the simple play quickly and does not turn it over.

The Physical Game

5-11, 185, and light. 23 penalty minutes in 34 games. He does not win battles and does not try; the game is positioning and anticipation.

The Intangibles

54 and a half per cent of the expected goals, 85th percentile, in 369 minutes — a good number from a small sample, and not from a sheltered role: 41.7 per cent of his five-on-five shifts started in the attacking zone, the 15th percentile.

The goals went 14-18 against him.

He is 32, a 150th overall pick out of Harvard, and has quietly assembled a 600-game career as the forward a coach uses when he needs something done properly. On a Nashville bottom 6 that was outchanced all season, that is more valuable than it sounds.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 369 minutes

Expected goals
51.8%
69th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.4%
78th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 18 against. Expected: 13.3 and 12.4.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
27th
Numbers
69th

The numbers rank him 42 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 34 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
57th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.26 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.08 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
76.8 mph
11th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

10

points in his last 10 games — 5 goals, 5 assists, 14 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with UTA · 369 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
UTA took 53.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.8% — 1.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
369 minutes at five-on-five — 9th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kevin Stenlund46.2%58.3%42.8%
Michael Carcone58.9%46.7%55.9%
Sean Durzi50.3%52.6%53.8%

46.2% together, 58.3% for him apart and 42.8% for Stenlund apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Stenlund behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

44 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.