Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

15

Alexander Kerfoot

Utah Hockey Club Center

A sixteen-foot median attempt, and 45 points in all 82 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18COL79192443-7285008123.513:27
2018-19COL78152742-93840111612.914:53
2019-20TOR6591928-2321018810.214:46
2020-21TOR5681523+2120116811.814:27
2021-22TOR82133851+192000111711.115:13
2022-23TOR82102232+8302111337.514:37
2023-24ARI82133245-152622310312.617:26
2024-25 so far
Career52487177264-4186144870612.315:01

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 13 goals and 32 assists for 45 points, 2 on the power play, 2 shorthanded, 26 penalty minutes, 17:26 a night and minus-15, with 3 game-winners. He took 46.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,056 minutes, the 29th percentile, and his ice went 43-49 against an expectation of 39.25-45.17.

Four goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and four more conceded than they called for. Forty-three goals for and 49 against over 1,056 minutes, on a chance share of 46.5 per cent.

The Finesse Game

159 attempts at a median of 16 feet with 57 per cent of them from inside twenty and 15 per cent from beyond forty, 102 of those on goal, converted at 12.6 per cent against a career 12.32 across 706 shots.

177 career assists against 87 goals in 524 games. A sixteen-foot median attempt is the closest chart of any forward on this club who took a hundred and fifty attempts; he takes the puck to the net rather than shooting from distance, and 32 assists says he is looking for the pass on the way there.

The Physical Game

He is 5-11 and 185 and took 26 penalty minutes.

186 career penalty minutes in 524 games. He is small and gets to the paint anyway, which means he is taking the contact rather than giving it; there is no forechecking damage in his game and never has been.

The Intangibles

One hundred and fiftieth overall in 2012 by New Jersey, seven seasons, and Utah is his third organisation.

A career minus-4 and 4 shorthanded goals in 524 games. He was a fifth-round pick who has played 82 games in three different seasons and has never scored fewer than 23 points in any of the seven.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,056 minutes

Expected goals
46.5%
29th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.4%
39th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 49 against. Expected: 39.3 and 45.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
72nd
Numbers
29th

The report ranks him 43 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with ARI · 1056 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
ARI took 48.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.5% — 2.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,056 minutes at five-on-five — 66th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Sean Durzi44.6%47.4%53.6%
J.J. Moser48.6%45.7%50.6%
Michael Carcone40.5%48.6%46.2%

44.6% together, 47.4% for him apart and 53.6% for Durzi apart. Durzi was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

159 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 57% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.