Alexander Kerfoot

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 13 goals and 38 assists at 15:13 a night, plus-19, twenty penalty minutes, 117 shots. None of the thirteen came on the power play. Hundred-and-fiftieth overall in 2012 by New Jersey — the fifth round — five seasons, 360 games, 187 points.

The Finesse Game

Fifty-one points at fifteen minutes a night and almost none of it on the power play. Two per cent of his points came there, off six seconds a night — the 14th percentile among the 393 forwards who played forty games.

2.57 even-strength points per 60 is the 84th percentile, which off a third-line workload is the whole value.

5.63 shots per 60 is the 20th percentile at 11.1 per cent, from a 22-foot median with fifty-three per cent from the slot. Thirty-eight of his fifty-one points are assists.

51.8 per cent of the expected goals is the 65th percentile and 49.7 per cent of the attempts the 47th, out of 49.0 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 284th-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts — a genuinely even chair on a club that gave its top line 62 per cent.

The Physical Game

3.13 blocks per 60 is the 93rd percentile among forwards, at 5-11 and 185 pounds.

1.11 penalties drawn per 60 is the 79th percentile against 0.48 taken at the 31st, and twenty penalty minutes came out of eighty-two games. He is fouled twice for every foul he commits.

The Intangibles

A 23.1 mph top speed is the 85th percentile among forwards and 10.3 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 89th, against 9.78 miles per 60 at the 61st.

And his shot is 81.0 mph, the 13th-softest of the 365 forwards the tracking measures.

Fast, frequently at speed, and among the fifteen softest shots in the league. That combination — the legs of a scorer and none of the finish — is why thirty-eight of his points are assists and thirteen of his goals came from twenty-two feet.

He is 27, with 187 points in 360 games across five seasons, and the fifty-one is a career high by eight. Fifty-one points on eight seconds of power play, eighty-two games, the blocks and the penalty differential are the case, and it is a stronger one than the ice time implies. A shot in the bottom four per cent of the league is the ceiling and there is no working around it.