This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Adrian Kempe
Los Angeles Kings Right Wing
Seventy-five points on the lowest chance share of any regular forward on the club.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | LAK | 25 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 6.3 | 12:14 |
| 2017-18 | LAK | 81 | 16 | 21 | 37 | +11 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 119 | 13.5 | 13:20 |
| 2018-19 | LAK | 81 | 12 | 16 | 28 | -10 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 118 | 10.2 | 14:30 |
| 2019-20 | LAK | 69 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -10 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 148 | 7.4 | 16:01 |
| 2020-21 | LAK | 56 | 14 | 15 | 29 | -18 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 127 | 11.0 | 16:56 |
| 2021-22 | LAK | 78 | 35 | 19 | 54 | -2 | 46 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 247 | 14.2 | 18:35 |
| 2022-23 | LAK | 82 | 41 | 26 | 67 | +22 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 250 | 16.4 | 18:45 |
| 2023-24 | LAK | 77 | 28 | 47 | 75 | +13 | 72 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 246 | 11.4 | 18:56 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 549 | 159 | 169 | 328 | +3 | 335 | 29 | 12 | 27 | 1287 | 12.3 | 16:30 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
77 games, 28 goals and 47 assists for 75 points, 5 on the power play, 3 shorthanded, 72 penalty minutes, 18:56 a night and plus-13. He took 50.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,035 minutes, the 59th percentile, and his ice went 47-34 against an expectation of 40.33-39.10.
Seven goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and five fewer conceded than they called for. That is the lowest chance share of any forward who played a regular shift for this club, and the best point total on it, which is a combination worth being careful with.
The Finesse Game
246 shots at a median of 35 feet with 32 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 11.4 per cent against a career 12.4.
He is among the fastest forwards on the club and he shoots from further out than anybody else who scores here. 169 career assists in 549 games; the passing has improved every year and the shot from distance is still what he is paid for.
The Physical Game
He is 6-2 and 205 and finishes checks without hunting them.
72 penalty minutes in 77 games is a real rate and most of it is a stick when he has been beaten back. He does not win the wall and he does not need to, because he is usually the man arriving rather than the man defending.
The Intangibles
Twenty-ninth overall in 2014 out of Kramfors, eight seasons, and 328 points in 549 games, all of it for one organisation. He kills penalties and has 12 career shorthanded goals.
He is 28 and has scored 28 or more three times. The chance share says the results are running ahead of the play and the shorthanded work says there is more to him than the scoresheet.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
32.5% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 94th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
“72 penalty minutes in 77 games is a real rate and most of it is a stick when he has been beaten back.”
“He does not win the wall and he does not need to, because he is usually the man arriving rather than the man defending.”
“He kills penalties and has 12 career shorthanded goals.”
“He is 6-2 and 205 and finishes checks without hunting them.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,035 minutes
- Expected goals
- 50.8%
- 60th pct
- Shot attempts
- 53.5%
- 82nd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 47 for, 34 against. Expected: 40.3 and 39.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 77 games
- Top speed
- 23.5 mph
- 97th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 3.57 a game
- Distance
- 3.06 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 96.8 mph
- 96th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.5
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 1035 minutes at five-on-five
- Anze Kopitar86%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- LAK took 54.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.8% — 3.3 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 1,035 minutes at five-on-five — 63rd percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anze Kopitar | 51.4% | 46.2% | 53.4% |
| Quinton Byfield | 51.8% | 48.8% | 61.5% |
| Drew Doughty | 52.2% | 49.5% | 56.2% |
51.4% together, 46.2% for him apart and 53.4% for Kopitar apart. He was worse away from Kopitar, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Kopitar did.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
348 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 30 of them goals. His median goal came from 27 feet. 23% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 32% from beyond forty.