Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

9

Alex Iafallo

Winnipeg Jets Left Wing

Undrafted, the 92nd percentile of chances, and 15 penalty minutes in 82 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18LAK7591625+10120011297.015:06
2018-19LAK82151833-172220214810.116:50
2019-20LAK70172643+11460314212.018:56
2020-21LAK55131730-8440211811.019:53
2021-22LAK79172037+483122157.918:30
2022-23LAK59142236+142070513310.516:18
2023-24WPG82111627+1462021209.215:19
2024-25WPG82151631+211560210913.813:17
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—584111151262+3910130119111410.016:37

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

15 goals and 16 assists in 82 games — 31 points at 13:17 a night, plus-21, with 6 power-play goals and 2 game-winners on 109 shots, and 15 penalty minutes.

56.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 92nd percentile — the best mark of any forward on the roster. His ice went 33-18 against an expectation of 29.68-23.28 — ten goals better than expected for and five worse against, on a fourth line.

The Finesse Game

109 attempts at a median of 19 feet with 53 per cent from inside 20 and 13 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 13.8 per cent. He shoots from the paint, which is where a thirteen-minute winger’s goals have to come from.

16 assists. There is little creation. 262 points in 584 career games is the record of a useful, unremarkable, entirely dependable player.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 201 and honest. He forechecks properly, he supports the puck, and he does not initiate much contact.

15 penalty minutes in 82 games, and 101 in 584 career games — one of the lowest rates in this edition. He does not foul, he does not retaliate, and he kills penalties.

The Intangibles

Undrafted out of Minnesota-Duluth and 584 NHL games, seven seasons of it in Los Angeles.

He is 31 and was a throw-in on the Pierre-Luc Dubois trade, which is a description of him that his ice time flatly contradicts.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    65.1% of his attempts in the slot, 92nd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “**Undrafted out of Minnesota-Duluth** and 584 NHL games, seven seasons of it in Los Angeles.”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “**109 attempts at a median of 19 feet with 53 per cent from inside 20 and 13 per cent from beyond 40**, converting at 13.8 per cent. He shoots from the paint, which is where a thirteen-minute winger's goals have to come from.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “**15 penalty minutes in 82 games, and 101 in 584 career games** — one of the lowest rates in this edition.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He does not foul, he does not retaliate, and he kills penalties.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He does not foul, he does not retaliate, and he kills penalties.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 798 minutes

Expected goals
56%
94th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.7%
80th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 18 against. Expected: 29.7 and 23.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
60th
Numbers
94th

The numbers rank him 34 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
56th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.78 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.09 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.0 mph
72nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 798 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WPG took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.0% — 4.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 798 minutes at five-on-five — 36th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Morgan Barron53.8%57.8%55.8%
Dylan DeMelo59.5%53.8%52.0%
Josh Morrissey58.2%54.7%53.2%

53.8% together, 57.8% for him apart and 55.8% for Barron apart. He was better away from Barron, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Barron.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

152 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 53% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.