Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

55

Mark Scheifele

Winnipeg Jets Center

Thirty-nine goals, 87 points and eleven game-winners at 32, from a median shot distance of 21 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12WPG710100100520.010:57
2012-13WPG40000000060.011:32
2013-14WPG63132134+91410210013.016:21
2014-15WPG82153449+11243021708.818:35
2015-16WPG71293261+164870319414.918:33
2016-17WPG79325082+183870516020.020:34
2017-18WPG60233760+191882312518.420:41
2018-19WPG82384684+838120619919.121:52
2019-20WPG71294473+245100617017.121:48
2020-21WPG56214263-41240412616.720:58
2021-22WPG67294170-172370315918.221:08
2022-23WPG81422668-16431201020620.420:29
2023-24WPG74254772+195760415416.220:11
2024-25WPG82394887+12611101118121.620:26
2025-26 so far
Career879336468804+7742189259195517.220:03

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

39 goals and 48 assists in 82 games — 87 points at 20:26 a night, plus-12, with 11 power-play goals and 11 game-winning goals on 181 shots, converting at 21.6 per cent, and 61 penalty minutes.

It is a career high in points. 50.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 61st percentile. His ice went 35-22 against an expectation of 53.5-51.82 — eighteen goals of scoring missing and thirty fewer conceded, which is the largest goaltending effect on the roster.

The Finesse Game

181 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 49 per cent from inside 20 and 9 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 21.6 per cent. He is a first-line centre who shoots from the house and almost nowhere else, and 39 goals on 181 shots is what that produces.

48 assists. The hands in tight are the best part of him — he delays, he holds the puck a half-second past where a defenceman expects, and 804 points in 879 games is the record.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 207 and he is not a punishing player, but he is heavy enough to protect the puck below the goal line and he does.

61 penalty minutes in 82 games is the second-highest total on the club and a moderate rate for a first-line centre. A share of it is the stick foul after losing a step, and he is not an agitator.

The Intangibles

Seventh overall in 2011, this franchise’s first draft pick after it moved, and 879 games and 804 points, all of it in one uniform.

He is 32 and had the best season of his career. Eleven game-winning goals is a league-leading kind of number and it came on a club that won 56 games.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,307 minutes

Expected goals
50.8%
62nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.8%
31st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 35 for, 22 against. Expected: 53.5 and 51.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
91st
Numbers
62nd

The report ranks him 29 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1307 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WPG took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.8% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,307 minutes at five-on-five — 92nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kyle Connor51.0%49.2%40.9%
Gabriel Vilardi50.8%50.8%
Josh Morrissey55.2%46.6%52.8%

51.0% together, 49.2% for him apart and 40.9% for Connor apart. Connor was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Connor than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

276 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 39 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.