Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

36

Morgan Barron

Winnipeg Jets Center

Six-four, two shorthanded goals, and the best chance share of any forward on a Presidents' Trophy club.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21NYR5101-12000333.313:41
2021-22NYR/WPG27235-48000336.19:48
2022-23WPG7081321+4310121127.113:15
2023-24WPG8011718+10230039411.710:30
2024-25WPG748715+816020928.710:23
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—256303060+17800353349.011:12

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

8 goals and 7 assists in 74 games — 15 points at 10:23 a night, plus-8, with 2 shorthanded goals and 16 penalty minutes on 92 shots.

54.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 94th percentile — the best mark on the roster. His ice went 19-14 against an expectation of 22.62-18.78, which is a fourth line that spent its shifts in the correct end and got more out of them than the chances predicted.

The Finesse Game

92 attempts in 74 games at a median of 21 feet with 47 per cent from inside 20, converting at 8.7 per cent.

7 assists. 60 points in 256 career games is the whole offensive record and it is not the job. He goes to the net and he retrieves pucks.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 220 and he forechecks with force. He finishes checks, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he is difficult to move.

16 penalty minutes in 74 games is a very low rate for a player of this size and role. He kills penalties, he scored 2 shorthanded goals, and he can be trusted with a lead.

The Intangibles

A sixth-round pick of the Rangers in 2017 — 174th overall — out of Cornell, and 256 games, most of it here.

He is 26. He took a skate blade to the face in a playoff game and returned in the same period, which is the single most-cited fact about him and is not the reason he plays ten minutes a night on a 116-point club.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    30% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 4th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “**6-4 and 220 and he forechecks with force.** He finishes checks, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he is difficult to move.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He finishes checks, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he is difficult to move.”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He finishes checks, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he is difficult to move.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “**He kills penalties, he scored 2 shorthanded goals, and he can be trusted with a lead.**”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “**He kills penalties, he scored 2 shorthanded goals, and he can be trusted with a lead.**”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 644 minutes

Expected goals
54.6%
88th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.4%
57th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 19 for, 14 against. Expected: 22.6 and 18.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
55th
Numbers
88th

The numbers rank him 33 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 74 games

Top speed
23.9 mph
99th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.27 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.68 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
84.5 mph
41st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 644 minutes at five-on-five

  • Rasmus Kuparioff the roster44%
  • David Gustafssonoff the roster31%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WPG took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.6% — 2.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 644 minutes at five-on-five — 24th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alex Iafallo53.8%55.8%57.8%
Rasmus Kupari56.2%53.5%41.2%
Dylan DeMelo60.8%50.5%52.1%

53.8% together, 55.8% for him apart and 57.8% for Iafallo apart. Iafallo was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

137 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.