Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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22

Brandon Duhaime

Washington Capitals Right Wing

Two hundred and thirty-four penalty minutes in 211 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22MIN8061117-2122001916.610:13
2022-23MIN519110+6420138011.310:45
2023-24MIN/COL805813-570010925.410:52
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—211202040-12340242637.610:35

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

80 games across Minnesota and Colorado, 5 goals and 8 assists for 13 points, 1 shorthanded, 70 penalty minutes, 10:52 a night and minus-5. He took 45.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 721 minutes, the 24th percentile, and his ice went 26-34 against an expectation of 24.50-29.18.

Two goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and five more conceded than they called for. Thirteen points in 80 games at eleven minutes a night is exactly the fourth line he is signed to be.

The Finesse Game

134 attempts at a median of 27 feet with 33 per cent of them from inside twenty and 22 per cent from beyond forty, 87 of those on goal, converted at 5.4 per cent against a career 7.60 across 263 shots.

Twenty career goals and 20 assists in 211 games. A hundred and thirty-four attempts in eleven minutes a night is a great deal of shooting for the ice and almost none of it goes in; a career 7.60 per cent is a fourth-line rate and the volume is the only interesting part.

The Physical Game

He is 6-2 and 210 and took 70 penalty minutes.

234 career penalty minutes in 211 games. He hits everything, fights when the club needs one and took 122 penalty minutes in his first season; more than a penalty minute a game in eleven minutes of ice is a very high rate.

The Intangibles

One hundred and sixth overall in 2016 by Minnesota, three seasons, and Washington will be his third organisation.

A career minus-1 and 2 shorthanded goals in 211 games. He was a fourth-round pick who reached the league at 24, and he has been a fourth-line winger who kills penalties ever since.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “He hits everything, fights when the club needs one and took 122 penalty minutes in his first season; more than a penalty minute a game in eleven minutes of ice is a very high rate.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “A hundred and thirty-four attempts in eleven minutes a night is a great deal of shooting for the ice and almost none of it goes in; a career 7.60 per cent is a fourth-line rate and the volume is the only interesting part.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 721 minutes

Expected goals
45.6%
25th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.1%
29th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 26 for, 34 against. Expected: 24.5 and 29.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
80th
Numbers
25th

The report ranks him 55 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 80 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
80th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.71 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.62 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.2 mph
59th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with MIN · 536 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
COL took 52.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.6% — 6.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
721 minutes at five-on-five — 32nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Connor Dewar45.8%45.5%49.9%
Jake Middleton44.0%46.2%48.9%
Brock Faber43.9%46.1%51.3%

45.8% together, 45.5% for him apart and 49.9% for Dewar apart. Dewar was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

134 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.