Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

19

Troy Terry

Anaheim Ducks Right Wing

Thirty-seven goals two seasons ago, twenty-three the next, twenty last year.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18ANA20000000030.010:13
2018-19ANA324913+822002516.013:57
2019-20ANA4741115-56000735.514:31
2020-21ANA4871320-1180006910.114:42
2021-22ANA75373067-112680719219.318:14
2022-23ANA70233861-82250318812.219:22
2023-24ANA76203454-102440517211.618:17
2024-25 so far
Career35095135230-27981901572213.217:03

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 34 assists in 76 games — 54 points at 18:17 a night, minus-10, with 4 power-play goals and 5 game-winners on 172 shots, converting at 11.63 per cent, and 24 penalty minutes.

It is the third season of a decline in goals: 37, then 23, then 20. The points held up because the assists did not.

46.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,120 minutes, the 25th percentile. His ice went 30-51 against an expectation of 40.95-47.74 — eleven goals of scoring missing, the largest offensive shortfall on the roster.

The Finesse Game

172 attempts at a median of 30 feet, with 29 per cent from inside 20 and 15 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 11.63 per cent. He shoots from the middle distance and he is accurate rather than heavy.

The hands and the hockey sense are the reason he is a first-line winger — he holds the puck through the first check and finds a teammate coming late, and 34 assists on a club that scored 204 goals is a real season.

The 37-goal year is now three seasons old and looks more and more like the outlier. Ninety-five goals in 350 career games says the truth is somewhere near twenty.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 193. He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall against a heavy defenceman, and the game is played away from contact by design.

24 penalty minutes in 76 games and 98 in 350 for his career. He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator.

The Intangibles

A hundred and forty-eighth overall in 2015 — a fifth-round pick who became a first-line NHL winger, which is rare enough to be worth stating plainly — and 350 games and 230 points, all of them here.

He is 27, on a club that has been rebuilding for the whole of his career. The question is whether he is a genuine first-line player on a good team or a very good second-line player who has never had one in front of him, and four more years of this roster will not answer it.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,120 minutes

Expected goals
46.2%
26th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.5%
40th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 30 for, 51 against. Expected: 41.0 and 47.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
67th
Numbers
26th

The report ranks him 41 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 41 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1120 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
ANA took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.2% — 0.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,120 minutes at five-on-five — 75th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Leo Carlsson50.0%41.7%49.9%
Alex Killorn48.1%44.6%46.8%
Cam Fowler47.8%45.2%45.4%

50.0% together, 41.7% for him apart and 49.9% for Carlsson apart. He was worse away from Carlsson, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Carlsson did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

262 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 20 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 29% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.