This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Troy Terry

Thirty-seven goals two seasons ago, twenty-three the next, twenty last year.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2017-18	ANA	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.0	10:13
2018-19	ANA	32	4	9	13	+8	2	2	0	0	25	16.0	13:57
2019-20	ANA	47	4	11	15	-5	6	0	0	0	73	5.5	14:31
2020-21	ANA	48	7	13	20	-1	18	0	0	0	69	10.1	14:42
2021-22	ANA	75	37	30	67	-11	26	8	0	7	192	19.3	18:14
2022-23	ANA	70	23	38	61	-8	22	5	0	3	188	12.2	19:22
2023-24	ANA	76	20	34	54	-10	24	4	0	5	172	11.6	18:17
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	350	95	135	230	-27	98	19	0	15	722	13.2	17:03

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 34 assists in 76 games — 54 points at 18:17 a night, minus-10, with 4 power-play goals and 5 game-winners on 172 shots, converting at 11.63 per cent, and 24 penalty minutes.

It is the third season of a decline in goals: 37, then 23, then 20. The points held up because the assists did not.

47.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,120 minutes, the 33rd percentile. His ice went 43-52 against an expectation of 43.22-48.29 — eleven goals of scoring missing, the largest offensive shortfall on the roster.

The Finesse Game

172 attempts at a median of 30 feet, with 29 per cent from inside 20 and 15 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 11.63 per cent. He shoots from the middle distance and he is accurate rather than heavy.

The hands and the hockey sense are the reason he is a first-line winger — he holds the puck through the first check and finds a teammate coming late, and 34 assists on a club that scored 204 goals is a real season.

The 37-goal year is now three seasons old and looks more and more like the outlier. Ninety-five goals in 350 career games says the truth is somewhere near twenty.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 193. He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall against a heavy defenceman, and the game is played away from contact by design.

24 penalty minutes in 76 games and 98 in 350 for his career. He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator.

The Intangibles

A hundred and forty-eighth overall in 2015 — a fifth-round pick who became a first-line NHL winger, which is rare enough to be worth stating plainly — and 350 games and 230 points, all of them here.

He is 27, on a club that has been rebuilding for the whole of his career. The question is whether he is a genuine first-line player on a good team or a very good second-line player who has never had one in front of him, and four more years of this roster will not answer it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live
4 of his 20 goals late or in overtime, 91st percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
14:44 a game at five-on-five, 90th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“**The hands and the hockey sense are the reason he is a first-line winger** — he holds the puck through the first check and finds a teammate coming late, and 34 assists on a club that scored 204 goals is a real season.”
forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck
“**He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall against a heavy defenceman**, and the game is played away from contact by design.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“**He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall against a heavy defenceman**, and the game is played away from contact by design.”
retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty
“He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator.”
agitatorhe lacks it· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation
“He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,120 minutes

Expected goals: 47.2%; 33rd pct
Shot attempts: 48.9%; 45th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 52 against. Expected: 43.2 and 48.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

43rd

Numbers

33rd

The two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 76 games

Top speed: 22.1 mph; 46th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.38 a game
Distance: 2.88 miles a game
Hardest shot: 88.8 mph; 63rd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1120 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: ANA took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.2% — 1.3 above the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 1,120 minutes at five-on-five — 75th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Leo Carlsson	52.9%	41.4%	48.5%
Alex Killorn	49.3%	45.6%	46.0%
Cam Fowler	47.9%	46.8%	43.2%

52.9% together, 41.4% for him apart and 48.5% for Carlsson apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

262 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 20 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 29% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.