Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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19

Adam Henrique

Edmonton Oilers Center

Sixteen career shorthanded goals, the most on this roster, and the only Oiler forward outside the top line who finished above his chances.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11NJD1000+1000030.013:21
2011-12NJD74163551+8704313012.318:10
2012-13NJD4211516-3163227814.118:19
2013-14NJD77251843+32073413718.318:03
2014-15NJD75162743-63450312712.617:45
2015-16NJD80302050+102372814920.119:50
2016-17NJD82202040-203862214214.118:10
2017-18NJD/ANA81242650+112061815115.917:47
2018-19ANA82182442-52480312214.816:27
2019-20ANA71261743-22250116915.416:52
2020-21ANA4512921-8111027715.616:02
2021-22ANA58192342-21460014113.517:25
2022-23ANA62221638-82240113216.718:11
2023-24ANA/EDM82242751+93752414017.116:51
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—912263267530-12288631641169815.517:43

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 24 goals and 27 assists for 51 points, 5 on the power play, 2 shorthanded, 37 penalty minutes, 16:51 a night and plus-9. He took 47.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,024 minutes, the 37th percentile, and his ice went 46-37 against an expectation of 39.93-43.48.

Six goals above expectation at one end and six fewer conceded than the chances called for at the other, which on this club makes him one of the few forwards outside the first line whose results beat his play. The 37th percentile is the lowest chance share of any regular forward here.

The Finesse Game

140 shots at a median of 23 feet with 43 per cent from inside 20, converted at 17.1 per cent. That is a high rate on a low volume and it is roughly what he has always done.

He takes the defensive-zone draw that starts the shift. 530 points in 912 games at 17:43 a night is a second-line career played almost entirely against other clubs’ best.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 195 and does not punish anybody, and 288 career penalty minutes in 912 games is a low rate for a centre who plays this role.

He is hard to move off the puck in the slot and does not initiate anywhere else.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick in 2008 out of Brantford, fourteen seasons, and 912 games. He has been a useful player on three clubs and has never been the reason any of them won or lost.

He kills penalties and has 16 career shorthanded goals, the most on this roster. At 34 that is the part of his game most likely to survive, and it is the part this club has the least of.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “He takes the defensive-zone draw that starts the shift.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He kills penalties and has 16 career shorthanded goals, the most on this roster.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is 6-0 and 195 and does not punish anybody, and 288 career penalty minutes in 912 games is a low rate for a centre who plays this role.”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He is hard to move off the puck in the slot and does not initiate anywhere else.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,024 minutes

Expected goals
47.9%
38th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.4%
39th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 46 for, 37 against. Expected: 39.9 and 43.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
31st
Numbers
38th

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
21.9 mph
36th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
0.63 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.58 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.6 mph
55th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with ANA · 739 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
EDM took 56.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.9% — 9.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 1,024 minutes at five-on-five — 61st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Cam Fowler43.2%49.7%45.0%
Radko Gudas53.5%46.3%46.8%
Urho Vaakanainen45.9%48.4%47.1%

43.2% together, 49.7% for him apart and 45.0% for Fowler apart. He was better away from Fowler, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Fowler.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

215 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 24 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.