Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Trevor Zegras

Photo by Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0

Trevor Zegras

Philadelphia Flyers Center #46

67 points, and the best on-ice rate among the forwards.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21ANA2431013+612000535.715:24
2021-22ANA75233861-215090518112.717:54
2022-23ANA81234265-248840318412.518:50
2023-24ANA316915-130101738.217:05
2024-25ANA57122032-8231019812.217:02
2025-26PHI81264167062100516715.618:43
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—34993160253-482652501575612.317:55

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

26 goals and 41 assists in 81 games — 67 points, even in plus-minus, at 18:43 a night with 10 power-play goals and 62 penalty minutes.

The Finesse Game

The creativity is the reason he was a top-10 pick and it has finally been attached to a full season. 41 assists, and the good ones are the no-look feeds through a seam that most forwards do not see.

The shooting has improved sharply: 269 unblocked attempts, 33 goals across all situations, median 25 feet with 39 per cent from inside 20.

253 points in 349 career games.

The Physical Game

6 foot even and 185, and light. 62 penalty minutes is more than his game suggests and mostly comes from frustration.

He does not win wall battles and does not go to the net front, which was the entire criticism in Anaheim and has not changed.

The Intangibles

53.7 per cent of the expected goals, 81st percentile — the best forward mark on the club — with the chances 55.8 to 48.1 in his favour across 1,190 minutes.

The goals went 59-49 his way, which on a club whose goaltending cost 12 is to his credit.

12 points in his last 10. He is 25, and after 3 years of being treated as a highlight reel rather than a hockey player, this was the season the underlying numbers agreed with the talent.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    53.7% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 48.9% for his club in the minutes he sat: +4.8, 90th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    14:41 a game at five-on-five, 90th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,190 minutes

Expected goals
53.7%
81st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.5%
52nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 59 for, 49 against. Expected: 55.8 and 48.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
73rd
Numbers
81st

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 81 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
42nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.90 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.00 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
82.8 mph
35th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

12

points in his last 10 games — 4 goals, 8 assists, 22 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1190 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
PHI took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.7% — 3.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,190 minutes at five-on-five — 81st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Christian Dvorak51.0%57.1%44.2%
Owen Tippett57.1%51.0%49.8%
Jamie Drysdale56.9%51.8%47.6%

51.0% together, 57.1% for him apart and 44.2% for Dvorak apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Dvorak behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

269 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 33 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.