This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
A.J. Greer
Florida Panthers Left Wing
130 penalty minutes in nine and a half minutes a night, and a 54.9 per cent chance share doing it.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-17 | COL | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.0 | 13:39 |
| 2017-18 | COL | 17 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0.0 | 7:24 |
| 2018-19 | COL | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11.1 | 6:16 |
| 2020-21 | NJD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 8:33 |
| 2021-22 | NJD | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7.1 | 7:51 |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 61 | 5 | 7 | 12 | +9 | 114 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 66 | 7.6 | 9:07 |
| 2023-24 | CGY | 59 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -7 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 10.5 | 8:50 |
| 2024-25 | FLA | 81 | 6 | 11 | 17 | +4 | 130 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 86 | 7.0 | 9:36 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 248 | 19 | 30 | 49 | +4 | 335 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 253 | 7.5 | 8:58 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
6 goals and 11 assists in 81 games for 17 points, plus-4, on 9:36 a night with 130 penalty minutes — the most on the club by 40.
55.4 per cent at five-on-five, the 91st percentile, over 698 minutes. 48 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet. A fourth-line winger with a top-line chance share, which is what this club does to fourth lines.
The Finesse Game
Limited. 86 shots in 81 games and 6 goals, and 11 assists — there is no offensive game to project.
What he does is get the puck deep and go and get it, and on a club whose whole identity is winning pucks back that is a genuine contribution rather than an excuse.
The Physical Game
6-3 and 224, and among the more feared fourth-line forwards in the league. He hits, he fights, and he is very difficult to play against below the goal line.
130 penalty minutes in 81 games at nine and a half minutes a night is an enormous rate. On a club with the 10th-best penalty kill the marginal cost is lower than most, and it is still a cost.
The Intangibles
A second-round pick, five organisations, and an NHL job built entirely on being willing.
At 28 the projection is unchanged. He is the enforcement arm of a club that has decided being unpleasant is a competitive advantage, and the two Cups suggest it is right.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
“He hits, he fights, and he is very difficult to play against below the goal line.”
“6-3 and 224, and among the more feared fourth-line forwards in the league.”
“What he does is get the puck deep and go and get it”
“he is very difficult to play against below the goal line”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 698 minutes
- Expected goals
- 55.4%
- 92nd pct
- Shot attempts
- 53%
- 83rd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 23 for, 20 against. Expected: 28.4 and 22.8.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 43 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games
- Top speed
- 22.5 mph
- 61st pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.99 a game
- Distance
- 1.55 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 84.6 mph
- 42nd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 698 minutes at five-on-five
- Tomas Nosek59%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- FLA took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.4% — 1.4 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 698 minutes at five-on-five — 28th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Nosek | 57.5% | 52.6% | — |
| Jonah Gadjovich | 56.0% | 55.1% | — |
| Nate Schmidt | 58.8% | 53.7% | 57.1% |
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
121 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 33 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.