Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

42

Gustav Forsling

Florida Panthers Defense

Plus-33 — the best rating on the club — and ten goals of goaltending that arrived instead.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17CHI38235+34000484.214:49
2017-18CHI4131013-28101823.719:09
2018-19CHI43369-930000575.317:05
2020-21FLA4351217+178100945.319:57
2021-22FLA71102737+41180011456.921:13
2022-23FLA82132841+19401032096.223:26
2023-24FLA79102939+56431011606.322:09
2024-25FLA80112031+33160111955.622:57
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—47757135192+1581674179905.820:52

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 20 assists in 80 games for 31 points, plus-33 — the best rating on the club — on 22:57 a night and 195 shots.

54.2 per cent at five-on-five, the 87th percentile, over 1,450 minutes. His on-ice goals were 61-45 against an expected 64.6-54.5, which is four goals of finishing that did not arrive at one end and ten of goaltending in his favour at the other.

The Finesse Game

The skating and the reading are the tools. He closes gaps at the blue line as well as any defenceman in the league, and he escapes a forecheck by turning away from it rather than by absorbing it.

195 shots and 11 goals with 83 per cent from beyond 40 feet — the offence is entirely keeping pucks alive at the line, and 20 assists is a fair return for a man whose job is the other end. The first pass is quick and almost always right.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 199, and he defends with position rather than weight. He is not a hitter and he is rarely beaten badly enough to need to be.

16 penalty minutes over 80 games at 23 minutes a night is exceptional and is the clearest evidence of how good the reads are.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick, waived by two organisations before he was 25, and now one of the three or four best defensive defencemen in the league with two Cups.

At 29 there is no visible decline and the contract is among the most valuable in hockey. With Barkov out, he becomes the single most important player on the roster.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    82.8% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 90th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “he escapes a forecheck by turning away from it rather than by absorbing it”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He closes gaps at the blue line as well as any defenceman in the league”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is not a hitter and he is rarely beaten badly enough to need to be.”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “now one of the three or four best defensive defencemen in the league with two Cups”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,450 minutes

Expected goals
54.2%
87th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.9%
93rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 61 for, 45 against. Expected: 64.6 and 54.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
91st
Numbers
87th

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
67th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
1.04 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.11 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
105.0 mph
100th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1450 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
FLA took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.2% — 0.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,450 minutes at five-on-five — 98th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Aaron Ekblad54.5%53.9%50.4%
Sam Reinhart59.6%50.8%55.2%
Aleksander Barkov59.5%51.5%56.2%

54.5% together, 53.9% for him apart and 50.4% for Ekblad apart. Ekblad was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Ekblad than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

268 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 46 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 83% from beyond forty.