This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Mackie Samoskevich

15 goals as a rookie and a 55.8 per cent chance share, from the club's only young forward.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2023-24	FLA	7	0	0	0	-3	0	0	0	0	11	0.0	12:02
2024-25	FLA	72	15	16	31	-4	12	4	0	5	129	11.6	13:19
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	79	15	16	31	-7	12	4	0	5	140	10.7	13:12

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

15 goals and 16 assists in 72 games for 31 points, minus-4, on 13:19 a night with 5 game-winners.

55.7 per cent at five-on-five, the 93rd percentile, in a bottom-six role on a Cup winner. 129 shots in thirteen minutes a night is a good volume and 11.6 per cent conversion is a fair rookie rate.

The Finesse Game

A shooter with genuine hands. He gets the puck off quickly, he can beat a defenceman one-on-one at moderate speed, and 15 goals in a fourth-line role is a real return.

35 per cent of his attempts came from inside 20 feet. The playmaking is functional rather than dangerous and the decisions at NHL pace are still a half-beat slow, which is the ordinary rookie problem.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 180, and light. He does not win pucks on the wall and is separated from possession by NHL defencemen, which is why the ice time has stayed where it is.

12 penalty minutes over 72 games. The strength is the next step.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, a rookie season on a Stanley Cup winner, and the only forward under 24 on the roster.

With Barkov out and the club needing scoring from somewhere, this is the season he gets a genuine chance. The projection is a 20-goal middle-six winger.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

playmakerpresent and ordinary· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“The playmaking is functional rather than dangerous”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He does not win pucks on the wall”
hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand
“is separated from possession by NHL defencemen, which is why the ice time has stayed where it is”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 778 minutes

Expected goals: 55.7%; 93rd pct
Shot attempts: 54.3%; 89th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 28 against. Expected: 34.8 and 27.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

55th

Numbers

93rd

The numbers rank him 38 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 72 games

Top speed: 23.1 mph; 89th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.40 a game
Distance: 2.22 miles a game
Hardest shot: 87.8 mph; 65th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 778 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: FLA took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.7% — 1.7 above the club he did it on.
The role: 778 minutes at five-on-five — 34th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Sam Bennett	54.4%	56.9%	51.3%
Niko Mikkola	56.7%	55.1%	52.2%
Evan Rodrigues	53.3%	56.8%	52.7%

54.4% together, 56.9% for him apart and 51.3% for Bennett apart. Bennett was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Bennett than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

218 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.