Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

11

Stefan Noesen

New Jersey Devils Right Wing

22 goals with 64 per cent of his shots taken from inside 20 feet — the most extreme interior profile in this edition.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15ANA10000000006:54
2015-16ANA100000000010:02
2016-17ANA/NJD448210+6240006312.711:07
2017-18NJD72131427+123600412710.213:17
2018-19NJD41358-1928000644.712:44
2019-20PIT/SJS40729-1321026710.411:32
2020-21SJS/TOR60000200050.09:37
2021-22CAR2000+1000040.014:20
2022-23CAR78132336+11327041349.712:20
2023-24CAR81142337+133330311112.611:52
2024-25NJD78221941-854110516513.315:56
2025-26 so far
Career4448088168+152412201874010.812:50

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

22 goals and 19 assists in 78 games for 41 points, minus-8, on 15:56 a night with 11 on the power play and 54 penalty minutes.

53 per cent at five-on-five, the 79th percentile, with on-ice goals of 50-45 against an expected 41.2-36.5. A median shot distance of 13 feet with 64 per cent of his attempts inside 20 — the most extreme interior shot chart in this entire edition.

The Finesse Game

There is almost no handling and it is not required. The entire game is arriving at the front of the net before the defenceman and being ready — 165 shots from a median of 13 feet is a statistical profile that perhaps three players in the league share.

19 assists is honest. 11 power-play goals from the paint is the specific job he is on this roster to do and he is among the best in the league at it.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 205, and he takes an enormous amount of punishment. He stands in the crease, absorbs cross-checks, and does not leave, and he forechecks with genuine intent.

54 penalty minutes over 78 games. The body has held up better than it should for a man who plays entirely in the most contested twelve feet of the ice.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick who spent five years in the American League, six organisations, and a career that only became an NHL one at 29.

At 32 the projection is 18 goals and the same willingness. On a club with the best power play in the league, he is the least replaceable part of it.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 953 minutes

Expected goals
53%
79th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.7%
80th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 45 against. Expected: 41.2 and 36.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
76th
Numbers
79th

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 77 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 953 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NJD took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.0% — 2.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 953 minutes at five-on-five — 54th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nico Hischier55.6%50.3%53.0%
Timo Meier58.2%48.3%51.1%
Johnathan Kovacevic52.9%53.0%52.9%

55.6% together, 50.3% for him apart and 53.0% for Hischier apart. He was worse away from Hischier, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Hischier did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

238 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 22 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 64% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.