Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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72

Thomas Chabot

Ottawa Senators Defense

45 points and a plus-17 on a club that was outscored at five-on-five, in the healthiest season he has had in six years.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17OTT1000-2000010.07:09
2017-18OTT6391625-1214000949.617:31
2018-19OTT70144155-12321121857.624:17
2019-20OTT7163339-18420001863.226:00
2020-21OTT4962531-15361011205.026:17
2021-22OTT5973138-3261011734.026:12
2022-23OTT68113041-11525001656.724:58
2023-24OTT5192130-3221001187.623:03
2024-25OTT8093645+17241011795.023:01
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—51271233304-59248101512215.823:50

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

9 goals and 36 assists in 80 games — 45 points at 23:01 a night, plus-17, with 24 penalty minutes. It is the first time since 2018-19 that he has played more than 71 games in a season.

52.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 78th percentile, across 1,441 minutes — the most five-on-five ice of anybody on the roster. His ice went 61-57 against an expectation of 60.48-54.46: the scoring arrived exactly as the chances said it would, and the results were good anyway.

The Finesse Game

A puck-mover first and always. He skates it out under pressure, he changes the angle of an attack with one pass, and 36 assists at even strength and on the power play is the honest measure of it.

179 attempts at a median of 49 feet with 67 per cent from beyond 40 — the shot is a point shot meant to be tipped. 9 goals is around his ceiling and has been for most of a decade.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 200, and he defends with his feet and his stick rather than with contact. He is quick enough backwards to survive a rush he has been beaten on and he does not foul when it happens — 24 penalty minutes in 80 games.

The front of his own net is not where he is useful and the club knows it. He is a defenceman who wants the puck, not the body.

The Intangibles

Eighteenth overall in 2015, 512 games, 304 points, and nine seasons in one uniform — most of them on hockey teams that were not close to good.

The injuries are the story of the middle of his career: four straight seasons under 71 games. Eighty games and a plus-17 at 28 is the version of him the club has been waiting for since the contract was signed.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He skates it out under pressure, he changes the angle of an attack with one pass, and 36 assists at even strength and on the power play is the honest measure of it.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “He is quick enough backwards to survive a rush he has been beaten on and he does not foul when it happens — 24 penalty minutes in 80 games.”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “The front of his own net is not where he is useful and the club knows it.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,441 minutes

Expected goals
52.6%
74th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.9%
82nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 61 for, 57 against. Expected: 60.5 and 54.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
66th
Numbers
74th

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
76th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.93 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.45 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
96.3 mph
84th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1441 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
OTT took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.6% — 2.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,441 minutes at five-on-five — 97th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nick Jensen51.2%55.5%48.4%
Tim Stützle58.7%49.3%50.0%
Drake Batherson53.2%52.3%46.5%

51.2% together, 55.5% for him apart and 48.4% for Jensen apart. He was better away from Jensen, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Jensen.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

252 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 28 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 67% from beyond forty.