Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

72

Thomas Chabot

Ottawa Senators Defense

45 points and a plus-17 on a club that was outscored at five-on-five, in the healthiest season he has had in six years.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17OTT1000-2000010.07:09
2017-18OTT6391625-1214000949.617:31
2018-19OTT70144155-12321121857.624:17
2019-20OTT7163339-18420001863.226:00
2020-21OTT4962531-15361011205.026:17
2021-22OTT5973138-3261011734.026:12
2022-23OTT68113041-11525001656.724:58
2023-24OTT5192130-3221001187.623:03
2024-25OTT8093645+17241011795.023:01
2025-26 so far
Career51271233304-59248101512215.823:50

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

9 goals and 36 assists in 80 games — 45 points at 23:01 a night, plus-17, with 24 penalty minutes. It is the first time since 2018-19 that he has played more than 71 games in a season.

52.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 78th percentile, across 1,441 minutes — the most five-on-five ice of anybody on the roster. His ice went 45-36 against an expectation of 58.83-52.33: fourteen goals of scoring did not arrive, and the results were good anyway.

The Finesse Game

A puck-mover first and always. He skates it out under pressure, he changes the angle of an attack with one pass, and 36 assists at even strength and on the power play is the honest measure of it.

179 attempts at a median of 49 feet with 67 per cent from beyond 40 — the shot is a point shot meant to be tipped. 9 goals is around his ceiling and has been for most of a decade.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 200, and he defends with his feet and his stick rather than with contact. He is quick enough backwards to survive a rush he has been beaten on and he does not foul when it happens — 24 penalty minutes in 80 games.

The front of his own net is not where he is useful and the club knows it. He is a defenceman who wants the puck, not the body.

The Intangibles

Eighteenth overall in 2015, 512 games, 304 points, and nine seasons in one uniform — most of them on hockey teams that were not close to good.

The injuries are the story of the middle of his career: four straight seasons under 71 games. Eighty games and a plus-17 at 28 is the version of him the club has been waiting for since the contract was signed.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,441 minutes

Expected goals
52.9%
78th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53%
83rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 36 against. Expected: 58.8 and 52.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
66th
Numbers
78th

The two rank him within 12 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1441 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
OTT took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.9% — 2.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,441 minutes at five-on-five — 97th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nick Jensen51.8%55.3%48.2%
Tim Stützle59.1%49.9%49.3%
Drake Batherson54.2%52.3%48.7%

51.8% together, 55.3% for him apart and 48.2% for Jensen apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Jensen behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

252 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 28 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 67% from beyond forty.