Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

78

Nico Sturm

Minnesota Wild Center

14 points, and a faceoff centre coming back to the club that developed him.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19MIN20000000070.012:47
2019-20MIN6022+2000020.011:54
2020-21MIN5011617+10170026417.210:51
2021-22MIN/COL7491120-7141101018.911:54
2022-23SJS74141226-132301111911.814:44
2023-24SJS635813-2512010697.214:40
2024-25SJS/FLA627714-6200115911.910:25
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—331464692-398614442110.912:38

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 7 assists in 62 games for 14 points, minus-6, on 10:25 a night between San Jose and Florida, including a shorthanded goal.

59 shots in 62 games and 7 goals at 11.9 per cent. A fourth-line season split between the worst club in the league and the champions.

The Finesse Game

Almost none. 14 points is close to his rate across six seasons and there has never been a scoring year above 22 points.

The value is entirely in the faceoff circle, where he is genuinely among the better centres in the league, and in not losing possession.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 209, and he plays an honest, heavy checking game. He wins pucks below the goal line, blocks shots, and forechecks with weight.

20 penalty minutes over 62 games is disciplined for the style.

The Intangibles

Undrafted out of Clarkson, five organisations, a Cup in Colorado and another in Florida, and a return to the club he started with.

At 30 the projection is a fourth-line centre who wins draws and kills penalties. On a club with a 22nd-ranked kill and no depth at centre behind two injury-prone men, that is a sensible signing.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “The value is entirely in the faceoff circle, where he is genuinely among the better centres in the league”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “forechecks with weight”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “blocks shots”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He wins pucks below the goal line”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “At 30 the projection is a fourth-line centre who wins draws and kills penalties.”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted out of Clarkson, five organisations, a Cup in Colorado and another in Florida, and a return to the club he started with.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 534 minutes

Expected goals
46.2%
21st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.9%
24th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 17 for, 21 against. Expected: 19.5 and 22.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
49th
Numbers
21st

The report ranks him 28 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 62 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
57th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.37 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.69 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.4 mph
63rd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with SJS · 429 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
FLA took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.2% — 7.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
534 minutes at five-on-five — 19th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ty Dellandrea43.9%47.5%36.0%
Mario Ferraro45.4%46.6%46.7%
Carl Grundstrom47.0%45.9%49.0%

43.9% together, 47.5% for him apart and 36.0% for Dellandrea apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Dellandrea behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

86 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.