Connor Brown

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

64 games for Ottawa, 10 goals and 29 assists at 20:03 a night, minus-15, ten penalty minutes, 121 shots, one short-handed goal. Hundred-and-fifty-sixth overall in 2012 by Toronto — the sixth round — seven seasons, 444 games, 216 points.

The Finesse Game

Thirty-nine points in sixty-four games is a 50-point pace, off 5.66 shots per 60 at the 21st percentile and 8.3 per cent, from a 26-foot median.

1.59 even-strength points per 60 is the 37th percentile and twenty-three per cent of his points came on the power play, off 2:04 a night.

2.38 takeaways per 60 is the 91st percentile against 0.234 penalties taken per 60, the 20th-fewest of the same 393.

2.34 giveaways per 60 is the 88th percentile, which is the counterweight and belongs to a winger carrying the puck out of his own end for twenty minutes a night.

49.6 per cent of the expected goals is the 50th percentile and 50.1 per cent of the attempts the 53rd, out of 45.7 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 198th-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts — level shares out of a hard chair on a club that finished 21st in attempt share.

His ice went 37-46 against an expectation of 38.4-39.04 — a goal short in front and seven more against, which is where the minus-15 came from.

The Physical Game

2:38 a night short-handed is the 2nd-most of all 393 forwards who played forty games, with a short-handed goal.

0.654 hits per 60 is the 10th-fewest of the same 393, at 6-0 and 184 pounds, and ten penalty minutes came out of sixty-four games.

0.89 penalties drawn per 60 against 0.23 taken is a net of plus 0.654, the 21st-best in the league.

A penalty-killer who never hits anybody and almost never gets called is an unusual and valuable combination, and the eight career short-handed goals beside it say the job is not purely defensive.

The Intangibles

22.5 mph is the 52nd percentile among the 365 tracked forwards, 7.8 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 74th and 9.99 miles per 60 the 79th. A lot of ground covered at ordinary speed, which is the shape of a man playing twenty minutes on a bad club.

He is 28, a sixth-round pick, with 216 points in 444 games. Twenty minutes a night, the second-largest penalty-killing workload in the league and a fifty-point pace is a genuinely useful top-nine forward. The minus-15 belongs to Ottawa and the 21st-percentile shot rate belongs to him.