Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

70

Tanner Pearson

Winnipeg Jets Left Wing

Seven hundred and twenty-two games, a Stanley Cup at 21, and 8 penalty minutes in 78.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2013-14LAK25347+28101319.710:49
2014-15LAK4212416+14141036817.613:18
2015-16LAK79152136+111820413710.914:28
2016-17LAK80242044+51331518712.816:19
2017-18LAK82152540+11272041808.315:58
2018-19LAK/PIT/VAN8018927-152530114712.214:03
2019-20VAN69212445-42732316412.816:31
2020-21VAN5110818-15262021109.117:04
2021-22VAN68142034+9301021598.816:03
2022-23VAN14145-921000175.913:30
2023-24MTL545813-1221101776.512:56
2024-25VGK78121527+4801210911.011:47
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—722150162312+123819428138610.814:42

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

12 goals and 15 assists in 78 games for Vegas — 27 points at 11:47 a night, plus-4, with a shorthanded goal and 2 game-winners on 109 shots, and 8 penalty minutes.

Twelve goals at under twelve minutes a night on the club that took the fewest penalties in the league. It is a fourth-line season and a perfectly good one.

The Finesse Game

109 attempts and 12 goals at 11.0 per cent. 150 goals and 312 points in 722 career games.

15 assists. There is not much creation; he goes to the net, he retrieves pucks, and he takes what the forecheck produces.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 207 and honest. He forechecks properly and he wins some pucks below the goal line, and he does not initiate much contact.

8 penalty minutes in 78 games is among the lowest totals of any regular in this edition. He does not foul and he does not retaliate.

The Intangibles

Thirtieth overall in 2012 and 722 games and 312 points across six organisations, with a Stanley Cup in Los Angeles at 21 on a line that had a nickname before he had a full season.

He is 33. Winnipeg signed him in the summer for the bottom six, which at this stage of a career is the correct use of him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.10 penalty minutes a game over 78, 3rd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelypresent and ordinary· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks properly and he wins some pucks below the goal line, and he does not initiate much contact.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “**8 penalty minutes in 78 games** is among the lowest totals of any regular in this edition. He does not foul and he does not retaliate.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He does not foul and he does not retaliate.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 866 minutes

Expected goals
48.7%
41st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.6%
30th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 30 for, 31 against. Expected: 35.8 and 37.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
41st

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 78 games

Top speed
22.7 mph
71st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.90 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.85 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.2 mph
61st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with VGK · 866 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
VGK took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.7% — 4.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 866 minutes at five-on-five — 41st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Noah Hanifin53.3%45.2%56.4%
Keegan Kolesar44.0%51.7%53.7%
Alex Pietrangelo51.7%47.3%53.9%

53.3% together, 45.2% for him apart and 56.4% for Hanifin apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Hanifin and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

150 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 27 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.