Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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15

Noah Hanifin

Vegas Golden Knights Defense

The 93rd percentile of chances at 21:33 a night, and 14 penalty minutes in 80 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CAR7941822-14221001223.317:54
2016-17CAR8142529-19262011083.717:55
2017-18CAR79102232-20211031656.118:52
2018-19CGY8052833+18121121164.320:46
2019-20CGY7051722-12121001323.821:10
2020-21CGY4741115-218001894.520:01
2021-22CGY81103848+27191011895.321:18
2022-23CGY8173138+2331001764.022:39
2023-24CGY/VGK80133447+19245021647.923:37
2024-25VGK80102939+8142021456.921:33
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—75872253325+72011511214065.120:36

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

10 goals and 29 assists in 80 games — 39 points at 21:33 a night, plus-8, with 2 power-play goals and 2 game-winners on 145 shots, and 14 penalty minutes.

55.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 93rd percentile, across 1,449 minutes — the most on the roster. His ice went 69-64 against an expectation of 70.56-56.28 — seven goals of scoring missing and seven fewer conceded than the chances predicted.

The Finesse Game

145 attempts at a median of 52 feet with 72 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 6.9 per cent for 10 goals — a good return from that distance.

29 assists. The skating is the foundation: he escapes a forecheck by turning away from it, he carries the puck out of his own zone under pressure, and he is quick enough backwards to recover when the first read is wrong.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 206 and honest rather than punishing. He closes gaps early and takes the puck with his stick before the contact becomes necessary.

14 penalty minutes in 80 games at twenty-one and a half minutes a night is a very low rate. He is essentially never beaten badly enough to have to reach, which on the club that spent the least time shorthanded in the league is exactly the profile.

The Intangibles

Fifth overall in 2015 and 758 games and 325 points across three organisations, ten seasons in.

He is 28. Vegas acquired him at the 2024 deadline and signed him for eight years, and last season he had the best possession season of his career.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.17 penalty minutes a game over 80, 6th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “**The skating is the foundation**: he escapes a forecheck by turning away from it, he carries the puck out of his own zone under pressure, and he is quick enough backwards to recover when the first read is wrong.”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He closes gaps early and takes the puck with his stick before the contact becomes necessary.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “**14 penalty minutes in 80 games at twenty-one and a half minutes a night** is a very low rate. He is essentially never beaten badly enough to have to reach, which on the club that spent the least time shorthanded in the league is exactly the profile.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “6-3 and 206 and honest rather than punishing.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,449 minutes

Expected goals
55.6%
92nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.8%
81st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 69 for, 64 against. Expected: 70.6 and 56.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
80th
Numbers
92nd

The two rank him within 12 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
92nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
1.14 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.21 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.6 mph
72nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1449 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
VGK took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.6% — 2.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,449 minutes at five-on-five — 98th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alex Pietrangelo55.3%56.1%50.4%
Jack Eichel54.6%56.1%55.2%
Zach Whitecloud58.6%54.4%50.3%

55.3% together, 56.1% for him apart and 50.4% for Pietrangelo apart. Pietrangelo was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Pietrangelo than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

207 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 35 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 72% from beyond forty.