This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Alexander Holtz
Vegas Golden Knights Right Wing
Twelve points in 53 games, four years after being taken seventh overall.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | NJD | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0.0 | 12:16 |
| 2022-23 | NJD | 19 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14.3 | 10:16 |
| 2023-24 | NJD | 82 | 16 | 12 | 28 | -15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 122 | 13.1 | 11:38 |
| 2024-25 | VGK | 53 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 5.8 | 11:35 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 163 | 23 | 23 | 46 | -29 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 224 | 10.3 | 11:30 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
4 goals and 8 assists in 53 games — 12 points at 11:35 a night, minus-3, with a power-play goal and 10 penalty minutes on 69 shots.
50.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 58th percentile, across 564 minutes. His ice went 29-25 against an expectation of 23.25-22.81, which is a fourth line that came out ahead on a small sample.
The Finesse Game
The shot is the reason he was a top-ten pick and it is genuinely excellent — the release is quick and heavy and it is NHL-quality without qualification.
69 attempts in 53 games and 4 goals at 5.8 per cent. He does not get to shoot, because everything around the shot — the pace, the puck retrieval, the defensive detail — has not developed, and a winger who cannot get himself the puck cannot use a shot.
The Physical Game
6-0 and 198 and he does not play a physical game. He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he is not used against a first line.
10 penalty minutes in 53 games. He is uninvolved in that half of the game entirely, which at this level is the whole problem.
The Intangibles
Seventh overall in 2020 by New Jersey and traded here in 2024 — 163 games and 46 points across two organisations.
He is 23. This is close to the last season in which a top-ten pedigree and a genuine NHL shot buy a roster spot on a club with these ambitions.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 564 minutes
- Expected goals
- 50.5%
- 59th pct
- Shot attempts
- 47.8%
- 31st pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 29 for, 25 against. Expected: 23.3 and 22.8.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 48 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 564 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- VGK took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.5% — 3.0 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- 564 minutes at five-on-five — 20th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Hanifin | 51.8% | 49.5% | 56.4% |
| Tanner Pearson | 50.4% | 50.5% | 49.8% |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 50.7% | 50.3% | 54.3% |
51.8% together, 49.5% for him apart and 56.4% for Hanifin apart. Hanifin was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
111 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 34% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.