Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

82

Kevin Stenlund

Utah Hockey Club Center

Eleven goals and four assists in 81 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19CBJ40000400030.010:58
2019-20CBJ326410+283015710.513:59
2020-21CBJ325510-480014211.912:32
2021-22CBJ30000200030.07:32
2022-23WPG54639+320020639.511:39
2023-24FLA8111415-10620238113.612:36
2024-25 so far
Career206281644-910434524911.212:27

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games with Florida, 11 goals and 4 assists for 15 points, 2 shorthanded, 62 penalty minutes, 12:36 a night and minus-10, with 3 game-winners. He took 44.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 817 minutes, the 17th percentile, and his ice went 17-32 against an expectation of 23.69-29.63.

Seven goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and two more conceded than they called for. Seventeen goals for in 817 minutes is the lowest rate of anybody arriving on this roster.

The Finesse Game

100 attempts at a median of 28 feet with 36 per cent of them from inside twenty and 25 per cent from beyond forty, 77 of those on goal, converted at 13.6 per cent against a career 11.24 across 249 shots.

Twenty-eight career goals against 16 assists in 206 games. Eleven goals and four assists in a season is a ratio almost nobody posts; he shoots the puck when it arrives and does very little else with it.

The Physical Game

He is 6-3 and 213 and took 62 penalty minutes.

104 career penalty minutes in 206 games. He is a large centre who kills penalties and gets to the front of the net on the forecheck, which is the whole of the job he is signed for.

The Intangibles

Fifty-eighth overall in 2015 by Columbus, six seasons, and Utah will be his fourth organisation.

A career minus-9 and 4 shorthanded goals in 206 games. He is 28, and last season was the first time he had ever played more than 54 games in one.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 817 minutes

Expected goals
44.4%
18th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.7%
43rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 17 for, 32 against. Expected: 23.7 and 29.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
67th
Numbers
18th

The report ranks him 49 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with FLA · 817 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
FLA took 53.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.4% — 9.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 817 minutes at five-on-five — 40th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Lomberg41.6%48.1%55.6%
Niko Mikkola41.8%45.9%53.8%
Dmitry Kulikov40.7%46.5%57.7%

41.6% together, 48.1% for him apart and 55.6% for Lomberg apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

100 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.