Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

24

Spencer Stastney

Nashville Predators Defense

Twenty games, plus-9, and the fourth-best chance share on the club in a quarter of a season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23NSH8022+5200090.017:37
2023-24NSH20224+940011118.215:59
2024-25 so far
Career28246+1460012010.016:27

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 games, 2 goals and 2 assists for 4 points, 4 penalty minutes, 15:59 a night and plus-9. He took 56.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 277 minutes, and his ice went 14-6 against an expectation of 13.91-10.61.

Level at one end and five fewer conceded than the chances called for at the other. Plus-9 in twenty games is a striking line and 277 minutes is far too little to conclude anything from it.

The Finesse Game

11 shots in 20 games, converted at 18.2 per cent.

Four career assists in 28 games. He skates and he moves the puck, which on a blue line built out of Lauzon, Schenn and Fabbro is the thing it does not otherwise have below the top pair.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 184 and defends with feet rather than with contact.

6 penalty minutes in 28 career games. He does not clear the crease and does not win many walls, and the defensive half of the game is where the development is.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick in 2018 out of Woodridge, Illinois, four years at Notre Dame, two seasons, and 6 points in 28 games.

He is 24 and a fifth-round pick with twenty-eight games. Nashville’s blue line is old below Josi and this is the only internal answer to that on the roster.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 277 minutes

Expected goals
56.7%
94th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.8%
70th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 6 against. Expected: 13.9 and 10.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
48th
Numbers
94th

The numbers rank him 46 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 277 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NSH took 52.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.7% — 4.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
277 minutes at five-on-five — 4th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Luke Schenn55.2%57.8%51.1%
Luke Evangelista57.4%56.4%56.9%
Michael McCarron54.3%57.6%50.5%

55.2% together, 57.8% for him apart and 51.1% for Schenn apart. Schenn was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Schenn than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

19 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 33 feet. 11% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 68% from beyond forty.