Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

24

Spencer Stastney

Nashville Predators Defense

Notre Dame, a fifth-round pick, sixteen minutes a night in 23 games and no goals on 15 shots.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23NSH8022+5200090.017:37
2023-24NSH20224+940011118.215:59
2024-25NSH23033-74000150.016:11
2025-26 so far
Career51279+710001355.716:20

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

23 games, 0 goals and 3 assists at 16:11 a night, on 15 shots at 0 per cent. 4 penalty minutes. Minus-7.

A 50.8 per cent chance share across 340 minutes, with on-ice goals of 10-18 against an expected 14.93-14.46 — five goals short at one end and three extra at the other in a third of a season. That is noise, and the underlying share is respectable for a seventh defenceman on a club this bad.

The Finesse Game

A mobile, tidy puck-mover who does the simple things at speed. He exits the zone cleanly and he does not turn pucks over, which on this blue line was not a universal quality.

There is very little offence beyond that: 58 per cent of his shots from beyond 40 feet and no goals in 23 games. Fifteen attempts is not enough to judge a shot, and nothing in three American League seasons suggests there is much of one.

The Physical Game

184 pounds and he defends by positioning. 4 penalty minutes in 23 games.

He is not a physical presence and does not attempt to be one, which limits him to a pairing where somebody else clears the front of the net.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick, four years at Notre Dame, and three seasons of American League hockey before a real look.

He is 26 and has appeared in parts of three NHL seasons without holding a job in any of them. On a blue line this unsettled, that is a genuine opportunity rather than a consolation.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 340 minutes

Expected goals
50.8%
62nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.1%
65th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 10 for, 18 against. Expected: 14.9 and 14.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
0th
Numbers
62nd

The numbers rank him 62 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 52 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 340 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NSH took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.8% — 1.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
340 minutes at five-on-five — 8th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Steven Stamkos42.0%54.2%47.5%
Filip Forsberg44.2%53.6%48.0%
Jonathan Marchessault53.4%49.9%47.5%

42.0% together, 54.2% for him apart and 47.5% for Stamkos apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

26 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 0 of them goals. 15% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 58% from beyond forty.