This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Sam Reinhart

39 goals on an 18.3 per cent rate, 5 shorthanded, and a 57.2 per cent chance share.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2014-15	BUF	9	0	1	1	-1	2	0	0	0	3	0.0	10:22
2015-16	BUF	79	23	19	42	-8	8	8	0	3	165	13.9	16:50
2016-17	BUF	79	17	30	47	-11	8	9	0	3	178	9.6	17:13
2017-18	BUF	82	25	25	50	-24	26	12	0	5	188	13.3	17:06
2018-19	BUF	82	22	43	65	-10	16	2	0	1	180	12.2	18:57
2019-20	BUF	69	22	28	50	-15	20	5	0	2	144	15.3	20:38
2020-21	BUF	54	25	15	40	-28	10	10	0	5	130	19.2	19:32
2021-22	FLA	78	33	49	82	+25	13	16	0	6	186	17.7	17:46
2022-23	FLA	82	31	36	67	-12	12	16	0	5	227	13.7	19:47
2023-24	FLA	82	57	37	94	+29	31	27	5	11	233	24.5	20:18
2024-25	FLA	79	39	42	81	+6	27	13	5	4	213	18.3	20:30
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	775	294	325	619	-49	173	118	10	45	1847	15.9	18:43

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

39 goals and 42 assists in 79 games for 81 points, plus-6, on 20:30 a night with 13 on the power play and 5 shorthanded — the most points on the club.

57.8 per cent at five-on-five, the 98th percentile. 48 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 21, which is why 18.3 per cent conversion is more believable from him than from almost anybody else in this edition.

The Finesse Game

A shooter whose whole game is arriving in the right place a half-second early. The release is quick and accurate rather than heavy, and the value is in the location: he does not take a shot from 40 feet if he can take one from 20.

42 assists is the equal half and it comes from an unusually good sense of when to give it up. He is also the league’s most reliable shorthanded scorer — 5 goals a man down — which is a specific and rare skill.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 196, and honest rather than heavy. He goes to the net front on the power play and takes the punishment, and he does not win pucks on the wall by force.

27 penalty minutes over 79 games. The durability is exceptional — six consecutive seasons above 75 games.

The Intangibles

A 2nd overall pick who was written off in Buffalo, traded for very little, and has since scored 57 and 39 goals on two Cup winners.

At 29 on a long contract, he is the safest bet on this roster. With Barkov out, he becomes the first-line centre by necessity, and the one thing he does not do is take the hardest defensive matchup.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
79 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“42 assists is the equal half and it comes from an unusually good sense of when to give it up.”
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“He is also the league's most reliable shorthanded scorer — 5 goals a man down — which is a specific and rare skill.”
net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips
“He goes to the net front on the power play and takes the punishment”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“he does not win pucks on the wall by force”
punishingpresent and ordinary· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“6-1 and 196, and honest rather than heavy.”
defensively-responsiblehe lacks it· comes back; can be trusted with a lead
“the one thing he does not do is take the hardest defensive matchup”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,092 minutes

Expected goals: 57.8%; 98th pct
Shot attempts: 58.1%; 96th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 34 against. Expected: 45.9 and 33.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

93rd

Numbers

98th

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 82 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 79 games

Top speed: 21.8 mph; 28th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.73 a game
Distance: 3.18 miles a game
Hardest shot: 86.0 mph; 51st pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1092 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: FLA took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 57.8% — 3.8 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,092 minutes at five-on-five — 75th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Aleksander Barkov	59.7%	52.2%	49.4%
Gustav Forsling	59.6%	55.2%	50.8%
Aaron Ekblad	59.0%	56.9%	50.7%

59.7% together, 52.2% for him apart and 49.4% for Barkov apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

331 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 40 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.