Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Sam Reinhart

Photo by Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Sam Reinhart

Florida Panthers Center #13

50 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet, and a minus-18 that belongs to somebody else.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15BUF9011-1200030.010:22
2015-16BUF79231942-8880316513.916:50
2016-17BUF79173047-1189031789.617:13
2017-18BUF82252550-2426120518813.317:06
2018-19BUF82224365-101620118012.218:57
2019-20BUF69222850-152050214415.320:38
2020-21BUF54251540-2810100513019.219:32
2021-22FLA78334982+2513160618617.717:46
2022-23FLA82313667-1212160522713.719:47
2023-24FLA82573794+29312751123324.520:18
2024-25FLA79394281+627135421318.320:30
2025-26FLA64293261-1810113616617.521:17
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—839323357680-671831291351201316.118:55

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

29 goals and 32 assists in 64 games — 61 points, minus-18, at 21:17 a night with 11 power-play goals. 10 penalty minutes all year.

The Finesse Game

One of the most efficient finishers in the league and it is location as much as touch. 50 per cent of his unblocked attempts came from inside 20 feet with a median of 20, and only 11 per cent from beyond 40.

30 goals from 273 attempts. He arrives at the back post, he does not miss, and the 11 power-play goals are the product of a man standing exactly where the puck is going to be.

32 assists in 64 games says the playmaking is real too.

The Physical Game

6-1, 196, and 10 penalty minutes in 64 games — he is never in anything. He does not forecheck heavily and does not win wall battles; the game is played on anticipation.

On a roster containing both Tkachuks, that division of labour works.

The Intangibles

The minus-18 is the worst figure on the club and it describes the goaltending rather than him: 51.9 per cent of the expected goals, 65th percentile, with the chances essentially even at 36.2 to 33.6 and the goals 29-38 against.

Florida’s goaltending came in 40 goals worse than the chances it faced, the worst in the National Hockey League. Every minus figure in this section has that number sitting underneath it.

9 points in his last 10. He is 30, 680 points into 839 games, and a 30-goal scorer being read as a defensive liability by a column that is not measuring him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.16 penalty minutes a game over 64, 7th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 898 minutes

Expected goals
51.9%
70th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.9%
67th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 29 for, 38 against. Expected: 36.2 and 33.6.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
82nd
Numbers
70th

The two rank him within 12 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 78 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 64 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
66th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.58 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.32 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
84.8 mph
49th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

9

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 7 assists, 30 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 898 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
FLA took 50.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.9% — 1.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 898 minutes at five-on-five — 48th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Gustav Forsling54.1%49.9%51.8%
Anton Lundell51.3%52.3%49.3%
Aaron Ekblad50.4%53.1%50.4%

54.1% together, 49.9% for him apart and 51.8% for Forsling apart. He was worse away from Forsling, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Forsling did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

273 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 30 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 51% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 11% from beyond forty.