Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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5

Aaron Ekblad

Florida Panthers Defense

33 points in 56 games and a plus-11, in a season interrupted by a 20-game suspension.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15FLA81122739+12326041707.121:49
2015-16FLA78152136+18413041828.221:41
2016-17FLA68101121-23584122254.421:28
2017-18FLA82162238+9715041898.523:23
2018-19FLA82132437+1475011807.223:39
2019-20FLA6753641+12260011473.422:59
2020-21FLA35111122+53360310110.925:05
2021-22FLA61154257+38263021808.324:55
2022-23FLA71142438-14688122166.523:24
2023-24FLA5141418+2750101984.120:52
2024-25FLA5633033+11530021062.823:31
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—732118262380+965054122617946.622:53

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 30 assists in 56 games for 33 points, plus-11, on 23:31 a night.

54.0 per cent at five-on-five, the 85th percentile, over 1,001 minutes. He served a 20-game suspension for a banned-substance violation and returned for the playoffs. 106 shots and 3 goals.

The Finesse Game

The passing is the strength and it is genuinely good — 30 assists in 56 games from a defenceman is a first-pair rate. He beats a forecheck cleanly and joins a rush when the situation is right.

3 goals on 106 attempts is a poor return and the release has thinned; he was a 15-goal defenceman early in his career and has not been one for years. The offence now is all distribution.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 220, and he plays a heavy game. He clears his crease, hits, and is one of the few men on this blue line who defends the paint by force.

53 penalty minutes over 56 games is a high rate. The injury history is long — he has cleared 70 games three times in eleven seasons.

The Intangibles

The 1st overall pick in 2014, eleven seasons in one organisation, two Cups, and a 20-game suspension that he accepted publicly and without excuse.

At 29 on a new long contract, the projection is a genuine top-pair defenceman for 65 games a year. The availability is the recurring cost and the club has re-signed him knowing it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “The passing is the strength and it is genuinely good — 30 assists in 56 games from a defenceman is a first-pair rate.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He beats a forecheck cleanly and joins a rush when the situation is right.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He clears his crease”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He clears his crease, hits, and is one of the few men on this blue line who defends the paint by force.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,001 minutes

Expected goals
54%
85th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.5%
93rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 34 against. Expected: 45.2 and 38.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
84th
Numbers
85th

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 56 games

Top speed
21.3 mph
35th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.18 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.25 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.4 mph
25th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1001 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
FLA took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.0% — level with the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,001 minutes at five-on-five — 61st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Gustav Forsling54.5%50.4%53.9%
Sam Reinhart59.0%50.7%56.9%
Aleksander Barkov59.3%51.2%57.3%

54.5% together, 50.4% for him apart and 53.9% for Forsling apart. He was worse away from Forsling, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Forsling did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

177 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 48 feet. 5% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 81% from beyond forty.