Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Sam Carrick

New York Rangers Center

Three hundred and sixteen career penalty minutes in 240 games, and 102 of them last season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15TOR16112+19000175.96:29
2015-16TOR3000-2400040.011:28
2018-19ANA6011-1200050.010:13
2019-20ANA9112-30010166.313:46
2020-21ANA13246+428000238.712:55
2021-22ANA6411819-12850008013.811:28
2022-23ANA52347-1786000506.010:34
2023-24ANA/EDM7710616-111021209210.912:14
2024-25 so far
Career240282553-413161302879.811:19

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

77 games in Anaheim and Edmonton, 10 goals and 6 assists for 16 points, 1 on the power play, 2 shorthanded, 102 penalty minutes, 12:14 a night and minus-11. He took 44.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 725 minutes, the 17th percentile, and his ice went 15-28 against an expectation of 22.58-28.22, the on-ice record filed with Edmonton.

Eight goals of scoring that did not arrive and level at the other end. A 17th-percentile chance share and a minus-11 from a fourth-line centre, and a hundred and two penalty minutes on top of it.

The Finesse Game

92 shots at a median of 25 feet with 47 per cent from inside 20, converted at 10.9 per cent against a career 9.76.

25 career assists in 240 games. Ten goals is his second-best season, one behind the eleven he scored in 2021-22. He shoots from close in and there is no playmaking; fifty-three points in two hundred and forty games is the complete record.

The Physical Game

He hits everything at 6-0 and 202, and 316 career penalty minutes in 240 games is what that produces.

He will fight anybody, takes liberties after the whistle, and forechecks aggressively. A hundred and two penalty minutes in seventy-seven games is well over a minute a game and it is the whole description.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick in 2010 by Toronto, out of Stouffville, eight seasons across three organisations, and 53 points in 240 games at a career minus-41.

He is 32 and takes the fourth-line centre job and the faceoffs that come with it. On a club whose penalty kill was third in the league, another man who takes a hundred minutes is a curious acquisition.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 725 minutes

Expected goals
44.4%
18th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.1%
23rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 15 for, 28 against. Expected: 22.6 and 28.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
48th
Numbers
18th

The report ranks him 30 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with ANA · 568 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
EDM took 56.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.4% — 12.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
725 minutes at five-on-five — 33rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ross Johnston39.5%47.7%40.1%
Radko Gudas46.8%43.4%48.7%
Brett Leason45.1%44.2%42.0%

39.5% together, 47.7% for him apart and 40.1% for Johnston apart. He was better away from Johnston, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Johnston.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

116 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 28% from beyond forty.