Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Sam Carrick

Photo by TheAHL, CC BY 2.0

Sam Carrick

Buffalo Sabres Center #10

6 goals in his last 10 games, at 34, in 10 minutes a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15TOR16112+19000175.96:29
2015-16TOR3000-2400040.011:28
2018-19ANA6011-1200050.010:13
2019-20ANA9112-30010166.313:46
2020-21ANA13246+428000238.712:55
2021-22ANA6411819-12850008013.811:28
2022-23ANA52347-1786000506.010:34
2023-24ANA/EDM7710616-111021209210.912:14
2024-25NYR8061420+558012847.111:56
2025-26NYR/BUF739716+2650017512.010:29
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—393434689-344391434469.611:17

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

9 goals and 7 assists in 73 games, plus-2, at 10:29 a night with 65 penalty minutes. His 5-on-5 work was done in New York.

The Finesse Game

Limited and deployed accordingly. 75 shots produced 9 goals from a median of 27 feet, with 42 per cent of his attempts inside 20. 43 goals in 393 career games.

He wins faceoffs, which is most of why he dresses.

The Physical Game

6 foot even, 202, and he plays a hard, irritating fourth-line game. 65 penalty minutes, willing to fight, and he finishes checks for the full shift.

The Intangibles

The 5-on-5 rate was poor: 46.8 per cent of the expected goals, 26th percentile, with the goals 23-24 against in 692 minutes — one of the few players in this book whose actual results were worse than his expected ones.

Set against that, 6 goals in his last 10 games, which for a player with his career rate is a genuinely remarkable fortnight and exactly the sort of thing a printed annual could never tell you.

He is 34, a 144th overall pick in 2010 who spent most of a decade in the minors before sticking. 10 seasons and 393 games out of that is a career worth having.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    33.0% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 97th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    30% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 5th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 692 minutes

Expected goals
46.8%
27th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.9%
35th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 23 for, 24 against. Expected: 23.8 and 27.0.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
11th
Numbers
27th

The two rank him within 16 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 73 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
42nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.51 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.76 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.1 mph
52nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

7

points in his last 10 games — 6 goals, 1 assists, 20 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with NYR · 566 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
BUF took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.8% — 4.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
692 minutes at five-on-five — 30th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Taylor Raddysh48.0%46.3%42.7%
Braden Schneider42.4%48.7%44.2%
Adam Edstrom45.0%47.5%43.5%

48.0% together, 46.3% for him apart and 42.7% for Raddysh apart. Raddysh was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Raddysh than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

106 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 33 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 33% from beyond forty.