Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

26

Brock McGinn

Anaheim Ducks Left Wing

Five hundred and eight games of honest fourth-line work, and twenty-four of them last season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CAR21314-14100002512.011:11
2016-17CAR577916-116001749.512:00
2017-18CAR80161430-122221115910.114:30
2018-19CAR82101626+10200101238.114:19
2019-20CAR6871017-417021937.513:12
2020-21CAR378513060115813.814:59
2021-22PIT641210220140029912.115:00
2022-23PIT/ANA7512719-6210239113.213:02
2023-24ANA24123-54000244.211:05
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—5087674150-4212027974610.213:36

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 2 assists in 24 games — 3 points at 11:05 a night, minus-5, on 24 shots with 4 penalty minutes. Injury and a healthy scratch took the rest of it.

43.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 238 minutes, the 15th percentile. His ice went 6-11 against an expectation of 7.32-9.36.

The Finesse Game

24 attempts at a median of 26 feet, with 46 per cent from inside 20 and 11 per cent from beyond 40. He shoots from close range and there is not much of a shot behind it — 76 goals in 508 career games.

2 assists. He is not a creator and never has been; what he does is arrive first and put the puck behind the defence.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 191. He forechecks first and hard and he finishes his checks, which is the reason he has had a nine-year career on four clubs without ever scoring twenty.

4 penalty minutes in 24 games and 120 in 508 for his career — a genuinely low rate for a forechecking winger. He does not retaliate.

The Intangibles

Forty-seventh overall in 2012 by Carolina, and 508 games and 150 points, most of it as a third-line penalty killer.

He is 30 and played twenty-four games. He scored the goal that won a double-overtime game seven for Carolina in 2019, and the rest of the career is exactly the sort that gets no attention at all — a bottom-six forward who is trusted a man short and takes no penalties.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “**He forechecks first and hard and he finishes his checks**, which is the reason he has had a nine-year career on four clubs without ever scoring twenty.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “**He forechecks first and hard and he finishes his checks**, which is the reason he has had a nine-year career on four clubs without ever scoring twenty.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He is 30 and played twenty-four games. **He scored the goal that won a double-overtime game seven for Carolina in 2019**, and the rest of the career is exactly the sort that gets no attention at all — a bottom-six forward who is trusted a man short and takes no penalties.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “4 penalty minutes in 24 games and 120 in 508 for his career — a genuinely low rate for a forechecking winger. He does not retaliate.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “2 assists. He is not a creator and never has been; **what he does is arrive first and put the puck behind the defence.**”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 238 minutes

Expected goals
43.9%
15th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43.2%
9th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 6 for, 11 against. Expected: 7.3 and 9.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
11th
Numbers
15th

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 24 games

Top speed
23.4 mph
95th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
2.25 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.85 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.5 mph
48th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 238 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
ANA took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.9% — 2.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
238 minutes at five-on-five — 3rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Sam Carrick43.1%44.7%44.7%
Cam Fowler40.5%46.1%44.9%
Jackson LaCombe46.7%42.1%45.0%

43.1% together, 44.7% for him apart and 44.7% for Carrick apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

35 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 46% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 11% from beyond forty.