This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Roope Hintz
Dallas Stars Center
A career 16.52 per cent across 890 shots and eleven shorthanded goals in 392 games — the best two-way centre nobody discusses.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-19 | DAL | 58 | 9 | 13 | 22 | -11 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 99 | 9.1 | 14:03 |
| 2019-20 | DAL | 60 | 19 | 14 | 33 | +3 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 120 | 15.8 | 14:45 |
| 2020-21 | DAL | 41 | 15 | 28 | 43 | +13 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 92 | 16.3 | 18:14 |
| 2021-22 | DAL | 80 | 37 | 35 | 72 | +15 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 213 | 17.4 | 18:03 |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 73 | 37 | 38 | 75 | +31 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 184 | 20.1 | 17:33 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 80 | 30 | 35 | 65 | +26 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 182 | 16.5 | 17:14 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 392 | 147 | 163 | 310 | +77 | 124 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 890 | 16.5 | 16:43 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
Eighty games, 30 goals and 35 assists for 65 points, 8 on the power play and 3 shorthanded, 17:14 a night and plus-26. He converted 16.48 per cent of 182 shots against a career 16.52 across 890.
He took 59.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,022 minutes, the 97th percentile, and his ice went 59-40 against an expectation of 48.88-33.73. Eight goals of scoring missing and fifteen extra against, on the man with the second-best chance share among the club’s forwards. It is not a thing he controls and the plus-26 is where it evens out.
The Finesse Game
He skates as well as any centre of his size in the league. At 6-3 and 217 the stride eats ice and the entries are made at speed rather than by passing, and a defenceman who gives him the outside is beaten.
A career 16.52 per cent across 890 shots is one of the best sustained finishing rates in this edition — 147 goals in 392 games. He shoots from a median of 24 feet with 44 per cent from inside 20 and gets there on his own.
One hundred and sixty-three career assists. The passing is the weaker half and the club does not need it to be otherwise.
The Physical Game
He is 6-3 and 217 and protects the puck below the goal line, but he is not a punishing forward and does not finish checks for their own sake. Twenty-two penalty minutes in 80 games is a low rate.
He kills penalties and has 11 career shorthanded goals in 392 games, which is a rate almost nobody matches. He reads the first pass and jumps the lane, and at that speed the gamble is a two-on-one the other way.
The Intangibles
A second-round pick, 49th overall in 2015 out of Nokia, six seasons, and a career plus-77 across 392 games. He has been the club’s best centre for four years and has never had a hundred-point season or a conversation about one.
He is 28. On a club with nine men between 47 and 80 points he is the one who does the most things well.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
80 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
59.2% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 53.1% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.1, 91st percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
“At 6-3 and 217 the stride eats ice and the entries are made at speed rather than by passing, and a defenceman who gives him the outside is beaten.”
“He kills penalties and has 11 career shorthanded goals in 392 games, which is a rate almost nobody matches.”
“He is 6-3 and 217 and protects the puck below the goal line, but he is not a punishing forward and does not finish checks for their own sake.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,022 minutes
- Expected goals
- 59.2%
- 97th pct
- Shot attempts
- 56.6%
- 94th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 59 for, 40 against. Expected: 48.9 and 33.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 25 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 80 games
- Top speed
- 23.6 mph
- 98th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 5.03 a game
- Distance
- 3.02 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 94.5 mph
- 90th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.5
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 1022 minutes at five-on-five
- Joe Pavelskioff the roster77%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- DAL took 54.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 59.2% — 4.6 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,022 minutes at five-on-five — 61st percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 59.8% | 54.4% | 51.8% |
| Joe Pavelski | 55.5% | 71.7% | 48.8% |
| Miro Heiskanen | 61.1% | 58.1% | 56.4% |
59.8% together, 54.4% for him apart and 51.8% for Robertson apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
261 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 29 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 45% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.