Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

81

Dylan Holloway

St. Louis Blues Left Wing

The best chance share on this roster, earned in 38 games in Edmonton.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23EDM51369027001446.89:35
2023-24EDM38639-1291005610.711:22
2024-25 so far
Career899918-1561011009.010:21

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

38 games with Edmonton, 6 goals and 3 assists for 9 points, 1 on the power play, 29 penalty minutes, 11:22 a night and minus-1. He took 54.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 425 minutes — the 84th percentile and the best chance share of anybody on this roster — and his ice went 13-14 against an expectation of 18.37-15.49.

Five goals of finishing below what the chances were worth across 425 minutes, which is a very large shortfall for the ice. The 54.2 per cent came behind the best chance-creating club in the league.

The Finesse Game

75 attempts at a median of 25 feet with 43 per cent of them from inside twenty, 53 of those on goal, converted at 10.7 per cent against a career 9.00 across 100 shots.

Nine career goals and 9 assists in 89 games. He is quick and direct and drives the net rather than the wall; there is not enough of a sample to say more than that, and 89 games in two seasons is why.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 207 and took 29 penalty minutes.

Fifty-six career penalty minutes in 89 games is a high rate for eleven minutes a night. He finishes checks hard and gets caught doing it, and the willingness is well ahead of the discipline at 23.

The Intangibles

Fourteenth overall in 2020 by Edmonton, two seasons, and St. Louis will be his second organisation.

A career minus-1 in 89 games. He was a top-fifteen pick who has played 89 games in two seasons, and St. Louis has bought the chance to find out why.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 425 minutes

Expected goals
54.2%
83rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
59.2%
98th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 13 for, 14 against. Expected: 18.4 and 15.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
84th
Numbers
83rd

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 77 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with EDM · 425 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
EDM took 56.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.2% — 2.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
425 minutes at five-on-five — 13th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan McLeod57.5%51.1%56.4%
Brett Kulak49.7%56.5%55.3%
Cody Ceci49.4%57.0%52.3%

57.5% together, 51.1% for him apart and 56.4% for McLeod apart. He was worse away from McLeod, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than McLeod did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

75 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.